INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
Today · 6:40 PM ETLineup pendingAL West / NL East

Houston Astros   vs   Philadelphia Phillies Preview

September 8, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Citizens Bank Park.

6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank ParkStats availableLineups not confirmedLast update —
T-Score50
Houston Astros
73–71 · 1st AL West · T-Score 50
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First pitch 6:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
80–63 · 2nd NL East · T-Score 65
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T-Score65
First pitch 6:40 PM ETNo line available
No line availableLast update —

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherAstrosWesneski owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handAstrosHouston has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthPhilliesPhiladelphia leads 65–50 in T-Score.
WeatherLow impact71°F, wind 1 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

HOU
Hayden Wesneski RHP
Hayden Wesneski
Houston Astros
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.18
38th
WHIP
1.06
20th
K/9
7.49
140th
BB/9
3.18
117th
P-Score68i
FIP
3.30
HR/9
0.45
7th
OPS/R
0.620
IP
39.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.86
Road ERA3.57
Last 5 starts
PHI
Andrew Painter RHP
Andrew Painter
Philadelphia Phillies
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.55
189th
WHIP
1.37
140th
K/9
7.78
128th
BB/9
3.16
115th
P-Score48i
FIP
4.66
HR/9
1.45
163rd
OPS/R
0.682
IP
105.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA5.81
Road ERA5.34
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Wesneski allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.06 WHIP compared with 1.37.
·Wesneski owns the lower FIP, 3.30 to 4.66.
·Wesneski allows the lower home-run rate: 0.45 vs 1.45 per nine.
·Wesneski enters with a 3.57 road ERA; Painter owns a 5.81 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricWesneskiPainterNote
ERA−77128Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.304.66
WAR0.90.9Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Wesneski arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sweeper31%81.1
Four-seam24%93.7
Sinker18%92.7
Cutter15%89.4
Changeup13%86.6
Curveball0%72.6
Painter arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam33%96.5
Slider18%88.0
Sweeper16%82.7
Splitter9%87.4
Sinker9%95.1
Changeup8%90.5
Curveball7%81.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Astros vs RHP (Andrew Painter)
12th
in MLB
0.728OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Phillies vs RHP (Hayden Wesneski)
18th
in MLB
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsHOUHOU·PHIPHI
+18716th
Run differential
+2367th
73–71 Record80–63
Last 10 games
Houston Astros (0–0)
Philadelphia Phillies (0–0)
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—0
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Astros?+
Hayden Wesneski is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Andrew Painter is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Citizens Bank Park, home of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Hayden Wesneski is at 68; Andrew Painter is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.