INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
Today · 6:40 PM ETLineup pendingNL East

New York Mets   vs   Miami Marlins Preview

September 8, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at loanDepot park.

6:40 PM ET · loanDepot parkStats availableLineups not confirmedLast update —
T-Score31
New York Mets
65–78 · 5th NL East · T-Score 31
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First pitch 6:40 PM ET
Miami Marlins
72–72 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 59
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T-Score59
First pitch 6:40 PM ETNo line available
No line availableLast update —

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMarlinsAlcantara owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .009 difference in OPS.
Team strengthMarlinsMiami leads 59–31 in T-Score.
WeatherLow impact77°F, wind 2 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

NYM
Sean Manaea LHP
Sean Manaea
New York Mets
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.70
150th
WHIP
1.36
138th
K/9
8.56
89th
BB/9
2.88
87th
P-Score52i
FIP
4.61
HR/9
1.47
167th
OPS/R
0.867
IP
128.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.84
Road ERA4.57
Last 5 starts
MIA
Sandy Alcantara RHP
Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.54
65th
WHIP
1.19
65th
K/9
6.53
188th
BB/9
2.35
39th
P-Score62i
FIP
3.80
HR/9
0.87
52nd
OPS/R
0.629
IP
195.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.58
Road ERA4.32
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Manaea strikes out 2.0 more batters per nine innings.
·Alcantara allows the lower home-run rate: 0.87 vs 1.47 per nine.
·Alcantara allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.19 WHIP compared with 1.36.
·Alcantara enters with a 3.54 ERA compared with Manaea's 4.70.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricManaeaAlcantaraNote
ERA−11484Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.613.80
WAR0.63.5Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Manaea arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam38%91.3
Sweeper30%75.8
Sinker20%90.4
Cutter8%84.5
Changeup4%83.7
Alcantara arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker27%97.3
Changeup20%90.9
Four-seam18%97.5
Cutter15%90.0
Sweeper9%84.3
Slider7%85.1
Curveball4%83.0

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Mets vs RHP (Sandy Alcantara)
25th
in MLB
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Marlins vs LHP (Sean Manaea)
23rd
in MLB
0.688OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsNYMNYM·MIAMIA
+11723rd
Run differential
+19213th
65–78 Record72–72
Last 10 games
New York Mets (0–0)
Miami Marlins (0–0)
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—0
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Mets?+
Sean Manaea is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Sandy Alcantara is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Sean Manaea is at 52; Sandy Alcantara is at 62. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.