INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL East

Toronto Blue Jays 2, Baltimore Orioles 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden YardsGame-day snapshot Sep 25, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score36
Toronto Blue Jays
79–83 · 5th AL East · T-Score 36
2
2–4
FINAL · 9 innings
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 40
4
T-Score40
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Max ScherzerTOR
StarterLoss
5.0443793
Chris BassittBAL
StarterWin
5.0721290
Andrew KittredgeBAL
ReliefSave
1.0100113
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
TORToronto Blue Jays0000020002101
BALBaltimore Orioles020020000451
Top hitters
Pete Alonso1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Brandon Valenzuela2-for-4 · 1 RBI
Jeremiah Jackson1-for-3 · 1 RBI
Andrés Giménez2-for-4
Ernie Clement2-for-4

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherOriolesBassitt leads Scherzer in P-Score (48 vs 33), ERA and BB/9.
Offense vs handOriolesBaltimore has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenJaysToronto has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
PowerOriolesBaltimore has 192 home runs this season, 43 more than Toronto.
Plate disciplineOriolesBaltimore has drawn 571 walks this season, 127 more than Toronto.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

TOR
Max Scherzer RHP
Max Scherzer
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
6.07
198th
WHIP
1.36
125th
K/9
6.69
153rd
BB/9
3.84
154th
P-Score33i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.73
182nd
OPS/R
–
IP
72.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.90
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
BAL
Chris Bassitt RHP
Chris Bassitt
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.64
132nd
WHIP
1.55
208th
K/9
6.68
189th
BB/9
3.43
131st
P-Score48i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.93
43rd
OPS/R
–
IP
97.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.64
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
How the starters differ
·Bassitt enters with a 4.64 ERA compared with Scherzer's 6.07.
·Scherzer allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.36 WHIP compared with 1.55.
·Bassitt allows the lower home-run rate: 0.93 vs 1.73 per nine.
·Bassitt has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 20%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Scherzer arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam48%93.0
Slider17%85.4
Changeup15%83.9
Curveball15%74.6
Cutter6%87.8
Bassitt arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker37%92.3
Curveball22%71.3
Cutter20%90.0
Four-seam8%92.5
Sweeper6%73.5
Changeup5%85.4
Slider3%81.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Jays vs RHP (Chris Bassitt)
25th
in MLB
0.705OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Orioles vs RHP (Max Scherzer)
18th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 23, 1:05 PM ET
TORTOR
.694
−10 ptsOPS edge
BALBAL
.704

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Toronto Blue JaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Chris Bassitt
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Bassitt (BvP)
1Nathan LukesLRF44.71410.7441-for-3Very small sample
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.R1B56.6889.6500-for-3Very small sample
3Kazuma OkamotoR3B66.76233.7280-for-2Very small sample
4George SpringerRDH56.72615.7545-for-20Small sample
5Josh SmithL2B34.6116.6142-for-7Very small sample
6Andrés GiménezLSS37.6509.6601-for-7Very small sample
7Brandon ValenzuelaSC50.6799.6980-for-1Very small sample
8Myles StrawRCF38.6463.6572-for-3Very small sample
9Ernie ClementR2B38.6499.6600-for-3Very small sample
1Nathan Lukes RF · L.277 / .714 · 10 HRvs hand .744 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample44H-Score2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R.260 / .688 · 9 HRvs hand .650 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample56H-Score3Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R.232 / .762 · 33 HRvs hand .728 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample66H-Score4George Springer DH · R.249 / .726 · 15 HRvs hand .754 · 5-for-20 · Small sample56H-Score5Josh Smith 2B · L.203 / .611 · 6 HRvs hand .614 · 2-for-7 · Very small sample34H-Score6Andrés Giménez SS · L.244 / .650 · 9 HRvs hand .660 · 1-for-7 · Very small sample37H-Score7Brandon Valenzuela C · S.222 / .679 · 9 HRvs hand .698 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample50H-Score8Myles Straw CF · R.241 / .646 · 3 HRvs hand .657 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample38H-Score9Ernie Clement 2B · R.259 / .649 · 9 HRvs hand .660 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample38H-Score
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs RHP Max Scherzer
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Scherzer (BvP)
1Dylan BeaversLLF48.6809.7150-for-1Very small sample
2Pete AlonsoR1B77.88543.9354-for-20Small sample
3Gunnar HendersonLSS58.71224.7081-for-4Very small sample
4Coby MayoR3B61.75824.5671-for-2Very small sample
5Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B58.83811.7431-for-2Very small sample
6Colton CowserLCF48.68713.7341-for-2Very small sample
7Jeremiah JacksonR2B40.61210.613No MLB historyNo history
8Leody TaverasSCF39.6338.708No MLB historyNo history
9Carlos NarváezRC26.4673.5010-for-2Very small sample
1Dylan Beavers LF · L.228 / .680 · 9 HRvs hand .715 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample48H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.267 / .885 · 43 HRvs hand .935 · 4-for-20 · Small sample77H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.225 / .712 · 24 HRvs hand .708 · 1-for-4 · Very small sample58H-Score4Coby Mayo 3B · R.228 / .758 · 24 HRvs hand .567 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample61H-Score5Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.277 / .838 · 11 HRvs hand .743 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample58H-Score6Colton Cowser CF · L.226 / .687 · 13 HRvs hand .734 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample48H-Score7Jeremiah Jackson 2B · R.217 / .612 · 10 HRvs hand .613 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score8Leody Taveras CF · S.219 / .633 · 8 HRvs hand .708 · No MLB history · No history39H-Score9Carlos Narváez C · R.161 / .467 · 3 HRvs hand .501 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample26H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTORTOR·BALBAL
AVG.247 9th.234 27th
OPS.691 29th.710 21st
Home runs152 30th199 10th
Runs648 30th718 17th
OBP.310 27th.314 20th
SLG.381 26th.396 21st
PitchingTORTOR·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.90vs4.07
TORBAL
WHIP1.29vs1.34
TORBAL
K/98.8vs8.2
TORBAL
HR Allowed167vs169
TORBAL
BullpenTORTOR·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.25vs3.90
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.23vs1.27
no league rank
Saves52vs46
TORBAL
ResultsTORTOR·BALBAL
+32722nd
Run differential
+39710th
79–83 Record79–82
4–6 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Toronto Blue Jays (4–6)
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
Baltimore Orioles (5–5)
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
7—6
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Jays?+
Max Scherzer (6.07 ERA, 3–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Chris Bassitt (4.64 ERA, 8–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Where is the game being played?+
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home of the Baltimore Orioles.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Jays and Orioles performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Orioles 6–7 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Max Scherzer is at 33; Chris Bassitt is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.