Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .010 difference in OPS.
Team strengthSoxChicago leads 57–35 in T-Score.
WeatherLow impact63°F, wind 8 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Lugo owns the lower FIP, 4.16 to 5.12.
·The WHIP gap favors Fedde, 1.34 to 1.46.
·Lugo allows the lower home-run rate: 1.22 vs 1.50 per nine.
·Fedde enters with a 4.87 road ERA; Lugo owns a 4.07 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Fedde | Lugo | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 96 | 117 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 5.12 | 4.16 | |
| WAR | -0.2 | 2.1 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Fedde arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sweeper | 38% | 82.1 |
| Sinker | 30% | 94.0 |
| Cutter | 19% | 91.3 |
| Changeup | 12% | 88.8 |
| Four-seam | 1% | 94.3 |
Lugo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 19% | 91.4 |
| Four-seam | 16% | 91.6 |
| Cutter | 16% | 89.8 |
| Curveball | 15% | 77.2 |
| Sweeper | 11% | 79.1 |
| Slider | 9% | 84.2 |
| Changeup | 9% | 85.1 |
| Slow Curve | 2% | 69.2 |
| Slurve | 1% | 77.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CWS·
KC+2947th
Run differential
+13027th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Erick Fedde is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Seth Lugo is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Kauffman Stadium, home of the Kansas City Royals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Erick Fedde is at 46; Seth Lugo is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.