Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRockiesThe starters are close overall, but Adams owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handRockiesColorado has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthDiamondbacksArizona leads 48–26 in T-Score.
WeatherLow impact67°F, wind 4 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Adams strikes out 2.6 more batters per nine innings.
·Kelly allows the lower home-run rate: 1.61 vs 2.35 per nine.
·Kelly allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.47 WHIP compared with 1.65.
·Kelly enters with a 4.36 road ERA; Adams owns a 5.79 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Kelly | Adams | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 117 | 71 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 5.47 | 5.67 | |
| WAR | -0.3 | 0.0 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Kelly arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 28% | 92.1 |
| Changeup | 28% | 88.5 |
| Cutter | 13% | 91.0 |
| Curveball | 12% | 82.5 |
| Slider | 10% | 86.3 |
| Sinker | 10% | 92.4 |
Adams arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 34% | 93.2 |
| Sinker | 26% | 92.3 |
| Curveball | 18% | 81.9 |
| Sweeper | 12% | 85.5 |
| Changeup | 5% | 88.1 |
| Cutter | 5% | 88.4 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.689OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.755OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
AZ·
COL+23116th
Run differential
+10528th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Diamondbacks?+
Merrill Kelly is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rockies?+
Mason Adams is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:40 PM ET at Coors Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Coors Field, home of the Colorado Rockies.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Merrill Kelly is at 39; Mason Adams is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.