INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL East

Milwaukee Brewers 4, Philadelphia Phillies 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 25, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score77
Milwaukee Brewers
103–59 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 77
4
4–1
FINAL · 9 innings
Philadelphia Phillies
88–74 · 2nd NL East · T-Score 46
1
T-Score46
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Logan HendersonMIL
StarterWin
5.0413387
Trevor MegillMIL
ReliefSave
1.0000111
Aaron NolaPHI
StarterLoss
6.0441888
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
MILMilwaukee Brewers112000000460
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies010000000161
Top hitters
Brice Turang2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Christian Yelich1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
William Contreras1-for-4 · 2 RBI
J.T. Realmuto0-for-4 · 1 RBI
Bryson Stott2-for-3 · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersHenderson leads Nola in P-Score (71 vs 53), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupBrewersThe confirmed Milwaukee order includes 6 hitters with an OPS above .750 against right-handed pitching.
BullpenBrewersMilwaukee has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formBrewersMilwaukee has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

MIL
Logan Henderson RHP
Logan Henderson
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.51
8th
WHIP
0.81
3rd
K/9
10.32
31st
BB/9
1.54
7th
P-Score71i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.35
129th
OPS/R
–
IP
93.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.10
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
PHI
Aaron Nola RHP
Aaron Nola
Philadelphia Phillies
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.49
147th
WHIP
1.35
133rd
K/9
9.04
65th
BB/9
3.10
105th
P-Score53i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.82
209th
OPS/R
–
IP
168.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.72
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Henderson allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.81 WHIP compared with 1.35.
·Henderson enters with a 2.51 ERA compared with Nola's 4.49.
·Henderson owns a 10.3 K/9 compared with Nola's 9.0.
·Henderson allows the lower home-run rate: 1.35 vs 1.82 per nine.

Brewers at Phillies: Henderson Gives Milwaukee a Strong Answer After the Opener

Philadelphia landed the first punch with a 6-4 win, but Milwaukee gets a very different pitching setup in the second game of the series. Logan Henderson takes the mound with numbers that rank among the strongest on the schedule, giving the 98-win Brewers a chance to answer at Citizens Bank Park.

Henderson has worked 93.1 innings with a 2.51 ERA and 3.30 FIP. His 0.81 WHIP ranks second in the supplied starter pool, and the combination of 10.3 strikeouts and only 1.5 walks per nine has allowed him to keep traffic remarkably low. Aaron Nola brings considerably more volume with 168.1 innings, but his 4.49 ERA, 4.79 FIP and 1.35 WHIP leave Philadelphia facing a clear statistical gap between the starters.

Milwaukee can also attack the game in ways that do not depend on home-run power. The Brewers rank second in MLB at 5.13 runs per game and lead the league with a .340 on-base percentage despite having only 149 home runs, the lowest total in baseball.

The relief matchup tilts their way as well. Milwaukee’s bullpen owns a 3.42 ERA, fourth in MLB, compared with Philadelphia’s 4.33.

None of that erased what happened in the opener. The Phillies are 42-34 at home and have won two straight overall. Milwaukee now needs Henderson and its high-contact, high-OBP offense to prevent Philadelphia from securing the series a game early.

Written by PitcherStat ·

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Henderson arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam46%93.1
Changeup35%82.9
Cutter15%87.8
Sweeper3%81.1
Nola arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Knuckle Curve33%78.4
Four-seam24%92.3
Sinker18%91.6
Changeup16%85.6
Cutter8%86.2
Slider1%83.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Brewers vs RHP (Aaron Nola)
2nd
in MLB
0.759OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Phillies vs RHP (Logan Henderson)
23rd
in MLB
0.707OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 23, 4:41 PM ET
MILMIL
.749
+11 ptsOPS edge
PHIPHI
.738

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs RHP Aaron Nola
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Nola (BvP)
1Garrett MitchellLCF70.77011.8020-for-3Very small sample
2Jackson ChourioRLF82.83825.7780-for-3Very small sample
3Brice TurangL2B75.81621.9012-for-5Very small sample
4William ContrerasRC74.75818.75711-for-32Limited history
5Jake BauersL1B80.87326.8631-for-7Very small sample
6Joey OrtizRSS57.7309.7681-for-8Very small sample
7Christian YelichLDH59.69312.72211-for-41Limited history
8Sal FrelickLRF39.6144.6400-for-3Very small sample
9David HamiltonL3B39.6504.6681-for-5Very small sample
1Garrett Mitchell CF · L.262 / .770 · 11 HRvs hand .802 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample70H-Score2Jackson Chourio LF · R.291 / .838 · 25 HRvs hand .778 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample82H-Score3Brice Turang 2B · L.268 / .816 · 21 HRvs hand .901 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample75H-Score4William Contreras C · R.270 / .758 · 18 HRvs hand .757 · 11-for-32 · Limited history74H-Score5Jake Bauers 1B · L.266 / .873 · 26 HRvs hand .863 · 1-for-7 · Very small sample80H-Score6Joey Ortiz SS · R.270 / .730 · 9 HRvs hand .768 · 1-for-8 · Very small sample57H-Score7Christian Yelich DH · L.235 / .693 · 12 HRvs hand .722 · 11-for-41 · Limited history59H-Score8Sal Frelick RF · L.230 / .614 · 4 HRvs hand .640 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample39H-Score9David Hamilton 3B · L.245 / .650 · 4 HRvs hand .668 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample39H-Score
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Henderson (BvP)
1Kyle SchwarberLDH86.85745.834No MLB historyNo history
2Trea TurnerRSS56.67519.709No MLB historyNo history
3Bryce HarperL1B81.86529.997No MLB historyNo history
4Luis ArraezL2B55.7646.8080-for-3Very small sample
5Alec BohmR3B67.69815.644No MLB historyNo history
6Bryson StottL2B67.73510.735No MLB historyNo history
7Brandon MarshLLF60.71218.742No MLB historyNo history
8J.T. RealmutoRC51.61411.631No MLB historyNo history
9Justin CrawfordLCF43.6623.672No MLB historyNo history
1Kyle Schwarber DH · L.232 / .857 · 45 HRvs hand .834 · No MLB history · No history86H-Score2Trea Turner SS · R.242 / .675 · 19 HRvs hand .709 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score3Bryce Harper 1B · L.269 / .865 · 29 HRvs hand .997 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score4Luis Arraez 2B · L.310 / .764 · 6 HRvs hand .808 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample55H-Score5Alec Bohm 3B · R.249 / .698 · 15 HRvs hand .644 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score6Bryson Stott 2B · L.256 / .735 · 10 HRvs hand .735 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score7Brandon Marsh LF · L.260 / .712 · 18 HRvs hand .742 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score8J.T. Realmuto C · R.205 / .614 · 11 HRvs hand .631 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score9Justin Crawford CF · L.264 / .662 · 3 HRvs hand .672 · No MLB history · No history43H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMILMIL·PHIPHI
AVG.258 1st.240 21st
OPS.744 3rd.707 22nd
Home runs154 28th182 16th
Runs832 2nd713 19th
OBP.341 1st.312 23rd
SLG.403 11th.395 24th
PitchingMILMIL·PHIPHI
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.51vs4.04
MILPHI
WHIP1.18vs1.29
MILPHI
K/99.6vs9.9
MILPHI
HR Allowed171vs191
MILPHI
BullpenMILMIL·PHIPHI
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.25vs4.48
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.22vs1.35
no league rank
Saves55vs42
MILPHI
ResultsMILMIL·PHIPHI
+4531st
Run differential
+29117th
103–59 Record88–74
7–3 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Milwaukee Brewers (7–3)
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
Philadelphia Phillies (5–5)
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Logan Henderson (2.51 ERA, 10–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Aaron Nola (4.49 ERA, 7–10) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Citizens Bank Park, home of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Brewers and Phillies performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Phillies 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Logan Henderson is at 71; Aaron Nola is at 53. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.