Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersHenderson leads Nola in P-Score (74 vs 54), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthBrewersMilwaukee leads 76–54 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherModerate impactA 12 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Henderson owns the lower FIP, 3.17 to 4.85.
·Henderson allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.81 WHIP compared with 1.35.
·Henderson owns a 10.3 K/9 compared with Nola's 9.0.
·Henderson allows the lower home-run rate: 1.35 vs 1.82 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Henderson | Nola | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 56 | 108 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.17 | 4.85 | |
| WAR | 2.3 | 1.3 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Henderson arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 46% | 93.1 |
| Changeup | 35% | 82.9 |
| Cutter | 16% | 87.8 |
| Sweeper | 3% | 81.1 |
Nola arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Knuckle Curve | 33% | 78.4 |
| Four-seam | 24% | 92.3 |
| Sinker | 18% | 91.6 |
| Changeup | 16% | 85.6 |
| Cutter | 8% | 86.3 |
| Slider | 1% | 83.2 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.761OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.708OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
MIL·
PHI+3812nd
Run differential
+26611th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Logan Henderson is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Aaron Nola is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Citizens Bank Park, home of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Logan Henderson is at 74; Aaron Nola is at 54. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.