INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL West

Houston Astros 5, Seattle Mariners 6

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

10:10 PM ET · T-Mobile ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 25, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score43
Houston Astros
81–81 · 1st AL West · T-Score 43
5
5–6
FINAL · 10 innings
Seattle Mariners
76–86 · 3rd AL West · T-Score 35
6
T-Score35
FINAL · 10 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Ethan PeckoHOU
Starter
2.2432251
Josh HaderHOU
ReliefLoss
1.1214044
George KirbySEA
Starter
5.0643596
Cooper CriswellSEA
ReliefWin
1.0100115
Scoring by inning
12345678910RHE
HOUHouston Astros00400000015100
SEASeattle Mariners0030100002690
Top hitters
Yainer Diaz2-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI
Dominic Canzone2-for-5 · 3 RBI
Julio Rodríguez3-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Jose Altuve2-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 R
Isaac Paredes1-for-4 · 1 RBI

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMarinersKirby leads Pecko in P-Score (54 vs 33), K/9 and BB/9.
Offense vs handAstrosHouston owns a .739 OPS vs RHP, 8th in MLB; Seattle ranks 21th vs RHP.
LineupAstrosHouston's official lineup includes 3 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenAstrosHouston owns a 3.71 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Seattle's 4.13.
Recent formMarinersSeattle has been the better recent team, at 4–6 over the last 10.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

HOU
Ethan Pecko RHP
Ethan Pecko
Houston Astros
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.77
96th
WHIP
1.12
45th
K/9
5.97
209th
BB/9
3.77
148th
P-Score33i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.57
135th
OPS/R
–
IP
28.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.60
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
SEA
George Kirby RHP
George Kirby
Seattle Mariners
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.24
125th
WHIP
1.39
155th
K/9
7.59
136th
BB/9
2.33
45th
P-Score54i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.11
98th
OPS/R
–
IP
169.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.55
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
How the starters differ
·Pecko allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.12 WHIP compared with 1.39.
·Kirby strikes out 1.6 more batters per nine innings.
·Kirby allows the lower home-run rate: 1.11 vs 1.57 per nine.
·Kirby has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 0%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Pecko arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker23%92.9
Four-seam21%93.5
Sweeper19%82.7
Cutter19%90.1
Curveball13%81.6
Changeup5%87.2
Kirby arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sweeper28%87.4
Four-seam28%96.7
Sinker21%96.8
Knuckle Curve10%84.1
Changeup5%88.8
Cutter4%92.9
Splitter2%87.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Astros vs RHP (George Kirby)
8th
in MLB
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Mariners vs RHP (Ethan Pecko)
21st
in MLB
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 23, 8:41 PM ET
HOUHOU
.740
+14 ptsOPS edge
SEASEA
.726

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Houston AstrosOfficial lineupvs RHP George Kirby
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Kirby (BvP)
1Jose AltuveR2B45.70116.6725-for-24Small sample
2Yordan AlvarezLDH871.033421.1144-for-20Small sample
3Isaac ParedesR3B62.80725.8157-for-16Small sample
4Yainer DiazRC60.77214.7606-for-22Small sample
5Christian WalkerR1B59.72629.7141-for-3Very small sample
6Taylor TrammellLLF40.6268.6691-for-3Very small sample
7Cam SmithRRF53.66921.6682-for-3Very small sample
8Lucas SpenceLCF—.8264.859No MLB historyNo history
9Nick AllenRSS40.7203.6831-for-9Very small sample
1Jose Altuve 2B · R.250 / .701 · 16 HRvs hand .672 · 5-for-24 · Small sample45H-Score2Yordan Alvarez DH · L.316 / 1.033 · 42 HRvs hand 1.114 · 4-for-20 · Small sample87H-Score3Isaac Paredes 3B · R.262 / .807 · 25 HRvs hand .815 · 7-for-16 · Small sample62H-Score4Yainer Diaz C · R.285 / .772 · 14 HRvs hand .760 · 6-for-22 · Small sample60H-Score5Christian Walker 1B · R.226 / .726 · 29 HRvs hand .714 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample59H-Score6Taylor Trammell LF · L.192 / .626 · 8 HRvs hand .669 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample40H-Score7Cam Smith RF · R.210 / .669 · 21 HRvs hand .668 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample53H-Score8Lucas Spence CF · L.218 / .826 · 4 HRvs hand .859 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Nick Allen SS · R.283 / .720 · 3 HRvs hand .683 · 1-for-9 · Very small sample40H-Score
Seattle MarinersOfficial lineupvs RHP Ethan Pecko
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Pecko (BvP)
1J.P. CrawfordLSS52.68714.691No MLB historyNo history
2Randy ArozarenaRLF75.86526.827No MLB historyNo history
3Dominic CanzoneLDH75.82023.808No MLB historyNo history
4Cal RaleighSC54.66423.680No MLB historyNo history
5Julio RodríguezRCF57.70822.723No MLB historyNo history
6Josh NaylorL1B46.66710.660No MLB historyNo history
7Cole YoungL2B52.69317.744No MLB historyNo history
8Lazaro MontesLRF—.78641.035No MLB historyNo history
9Weston WilsonR3B27.5894.670No MLB historyNo history
1J.P. Crawford SS · L.221 / .687 · 14 HRvs hand .691 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score2Randy Arozarena LF · R.281 / .865 · 26 HRvs hand .827 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score3Dominic Canzone DH · L.264 / .820 · 23 HRvs hand .808 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score4Cal Raleigh C · S.182 / .664 · 23 HRvs hand .680 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score5Julio Rodríguez CF · R.247 / .708 · 22 HRvs hand .723 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score6Josh Naylor 1B · L.261 / .667 · 10 HRvs hand .660 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score7Cole Young 2B · L.246 / .693 · 17 HRvs hand .744 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score8Lazaro Montes RF · L.212 / .786 · 4 HRvs hand 1.035 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Weston Wilson 3B · R.201 / .589 · 4 HRvs hand .670 · No MLB history · No history27H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseHOUHOU·SEASEA
AVG.242 18th.233 29th
OPS.732 7th.693 27th
Home runs226 1st182 16th
Runs734 13th664 28th
OBP.315 19th.314 21st
SLG.417 4th.379 28th
PitchingHOUHOU·SEASEA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.45vs4.20
HOUSEA
WHIP1.34vs1.27
HOUSEA
K/98.8vs8.8
HOUSEA
HR Allowed204vs194
HOUSEA
BullpenHOUHOU·SEASEA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.71vs4.13
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.22vs1.35
no league rank
Saves49vs35
HOUSEA
ResultsHOUHOU·SEASEA
+39311th
Run differential
+28028th
81–81 Record76–86
3–7 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Houston Astros (3–7)
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
Seattle Mariners (4–6)
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
5—8
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Astros?+
Ethan Pecko (3.77 ERA, 1–0) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mariners?+
George Kirby (4.24 ERA, 9–11) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
10:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park.
Where is the game being played?+
T-Mobile Park, home of the Seattle Mariners.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Astros and Mariners performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Mariners 8–5 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ethan Pecko is at 33; George Kirby is at 54. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.