INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL Central

Miami Marlins 3, Chicago Cubs 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:40 PM ET · Wrigley FieldGame-day snapshot Sep 25, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score54
Miami Marlins
80–82 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 54
3
3–2
FINAL · 9 innings
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 64
2
T-Score64
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Ryan GustoMIA
Starter
5.1622583
Cade GibsonMIA
ReliefWin
1.0000217
Sandy AlcantaraMIA
ReliefSave
1.0100012
Kevin GausmanCHC
Starter
5.26217101
Ryan RolisonCHC
ReliefLoss
0.2210119
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
MIAMiami Marlins0000021003100
CHCChicago Cubs000002000280
Top hitters
Kyle Stowers1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Dansby Swanson1-for-3 · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Joe Mack0-for-4 · 1 RBI
Michael Busch2-for-4 · 1 R
Griffin Conine2-for-4

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsChicago has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Gausman leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
LineupMarlinsMiami's official lineup includes 5 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenCubsChicago owns a 3.95 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Miami's 4.37.
Recent formCubsChicago has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.
PowerCubsChicago has 217 home runs this season, 55 more than Miami.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

MIA
Ryan Gusto RHP
Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.14
109th
WHIP
1.44
168th
K/9
7.51
139th
BB/9
2.83
86th
P-Score44i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.20
98th
OPS/R
–
IP
82.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.60
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
CHC
Kevin Gausman RHP
Kevin Gausman
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.55
141st
WHIP
1.27
102nd
K/9
9.26
55th
BB/9
2.41
43rd
P-Score58i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.31
137th
OPS/R
–
IP
172.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.40
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
8
How the starters differ
·Gausman strikes out 1.8 more batters per nine innings.
·Gausman allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.27 WHIP compared with 1.44.
·Gausman averages 1.2 more innings per start.
·Recent form favors Gusto, who has allowed fewer runs across the last five starts.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Gusto arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam29%94.7
Changeup14%87.2
Sweeper13%81.7
Cutter12%89.3
Sinker12%93.1
Slider12%85.4
Curveball9%78.5
Gausman arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam51%93.8
Splitter39%84.0
Slider8%84.0
Changeup1%83.9
Sweeper1%79.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Marlins vs RHP (Kevin Gausman)
7th
in MLB
0.743OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cubs vs RHP (Ryan Gusto)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 23, 5:41 PM ET
MIAMIA
.740
−27 ptsOPS edge
CHCCHC
.767

Slight edge: CHC

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Kevin Gausman
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gausman (BvP)
1Otto LopezRSS70.78611.7651-for-3Very small sample
2Kyle StowersL1B72.79021.8210-for-3Very small sample
3Heriberto HernándezRLF73.75525.7330-for-3Very small sample
4Griffin ConineLRF72.84619.922No MLB historyNo history
5Javier SanojaR3B63.79111.7531-for-2Very small sample
6Jakob MarseeLCF55.70711.7211-for-3Very small sample
7Agustín RamírezRDH43.6725.6250-for-3Very small sample
8Graham PauleyL3B36.6304.6520-for-2Very small sample
9Joe MackLC55.68514.730No MLB historyNo history
1Otto Lopez SS · R.305 / .786 · 11 HRvs hand .765 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample70H-Score2Kyle Stowers 1B · L.239 / .790 · 21 HRvs hand .821 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample72H-Score3Heriberto Hernández LF · R.228 / .755 · 25 HRvs hand .733 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample73H-Score4Griffin Conine RF · L.264 / .846 · 19 HRvs hand .922 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score5Javier Sanoja 3B · R.295 / .791 · 11 HRvs hand .753 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample63H-Score6Jakob Marsee CF · L.231 / .707 · 11 HRvs hand .721 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample55H-Score7Agustín Ramírez DH · R.235 / .672 · 5 HRvs hand .625 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample43H-Score8Graham Pauley 3B · L.211 / .630 · 4 HRvs hand .652 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample36H-Score9Joe Mack C · L.234 / .685 · 14 HRvs hand .730 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Ryan Gusto
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gusto (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF84.94245.9730-for-2Very small sample
2Seiya SuzukiRRF78.84126.7971-for-2Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B68.74520.7361-for-2Very small sample
4Michael ConfortoLDH71.80015.7740-for-1Very small sample
5Ian HappSLF67.73824.8160-for-2Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B49.6668.6650-for-2Very small sample
7Pedro RamírezS2B55.7236.6620-for-2Very small sample
8Dansby SwansonRSS55.69419.6772-for-2Very small sample
9Miguel AmayaRC49.7176.7011-for-1Very small sample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .973 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample84H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .797 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample78H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .736 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample68H-Score4Michael Conforto DH · L.240 / .800 · 15 HRvs hand .774 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample71H-Score5Ian Happ LF · S.218 / .738 · 24 HRvs hand .816 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample67H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .665 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample49H-Score7Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.261 / .723 · 6 HRvs hand .662 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample55H-Score8Dansby Swanson SS · R.213 / .694 · 19 HRvs hand .677 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample55H-Score9Miguel Amaya C · R.237 / .717 · 6 HRvs hand .701 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample49H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMIAMIA·CHCCHC
AVG.249 7th.251 6th
OPS.726 9th.767 1st
Home runs168 23rd220 3rd
Runs715 18th850 1st
OBP.326 5th.339 2nd
SLG.400 16th.428 1st
PitchingMIAMIA·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.09vs4.12
MIACHC
WHIP1.28vs1.26
MIACHC
K/98.3vs7.8
MIACHC
HR Allowed171vs231
MIACHC
BullpenMIAMIA·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.37vs3.95
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.33vs1.30
no league rank
Saves35vs36
MIACHC
ResultsMIAMIA·CHCCHC
+30515th
Run differential
+4452nd
80–82 Record89–73
5–5 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Miami Marlins (5–5)
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
Chicago Cubs (6–4)
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—4
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Ryan Gusto (4.14 ERA, 1–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Kevin Gausman (4.55 ERA, 9–12) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Marlins and Cubs performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cubs 4–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ryan Gusto is at 44; Kevin Gausman is at 58. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.