INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
Today · 5:10 PM ETProjected — not officialNL East / NL West

Washington Nationals   vs   San Diego Padres Preview

September 7, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Petco Park.

5:10 PM ET · Petco ParkStats updated Sep 7, 1:46 PM ETLineups not confirmedLast update Sep 7, 1:15 PM ET
T-Score47
Washington Nationals
67–78 · 4th NL East · T-Score 47
–
–––
First pitch 5:10 PM ET
San Diego Padres
75–68 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 56
–
T-Score56
First pitch 5:10 PM ETWSH +165 · SD −200 · Total 8
WSH +165 · SD −200 · Total 8Last update Sep 7, 1:15 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPadresSan has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Pivetta leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handNationalsWashington has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenPadresSan has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formNationalsWashington has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
WeatherModerate impactA 11 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Starting pitchers

WSH
Jake Irvin RHP
Jake Irvin
Washington Nationals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.57
193rd
WHIP
1.40
155th
K/9
9.14
62nd
BB/9
4.20
184th
P-Score44i
FIP
5.06
HR/9
1.58
181st
OPS/R
0.815
IP
85.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA6.75
Road ERA4.76
Last 5 starts
ERA
6.08
CubsMetsMarlRockBrav
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
SD
Nick Pivetta RHP
Nick Pivetta
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.50
WHIP
1.13
K/9
13.50
BB/9
3.38
FIP
1.22
HR/9
0.00
OPS/R
0.405
IP
16.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.91
Road ERA3.60
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.50
TigeGianPiraRock
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 4)
DAYS
REST
148
How the starters differ
·Pivetta strikes out 4.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Pivetta owns the lower FIP, 1.22 to 5.06.
·Pivetta allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.13 WHIP compared with 1.40.
·Pivetta allows the lower home-run rate: 0.00 vs 1.58 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricIrvinPivettaNote
ERA−131112Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.061.22
WAR0.50.9Season value.
Career vs opponent– ERA, 1 GS– ERA, 15 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Irvin arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam29%93.1
Curveball23%77.7
Sinker19%92.0
Cutter11%89.3
Sweeper9%82.1
Changeup8%85.7
Pivetta arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam58%94.1
Curveball18%79.2
Sweeper12%81.9
Cutter10%91.0
Sinker1%93.3
Slider1%86.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Nationals vs RHP (Nick Pivetta)
7th
in MLB
0.742OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Jake Irvin)
22nd
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Projected — not officialOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →

Team comparison

OffenseWSHWSH·SDSD
AVG.249 7th.236 25th
OPS.754 3rd.700 25th
Home runs194 2nd159 19th
Runs748 2nd602 24th
OBP.325 7th.313 21st
SLG.429 2nd.387 26th
PitchingWSHWSH·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.72vs3.91
WSHSD
WHIP1.39vs1.29
WSHSD
K/97.9vs8.3
WSHSD
HR Allowed197vs156
WSHSD
BullpenWSHWSH·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.93vs3.61
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.44vs1.26
no league rank
Saves34vs41
WSHSD
ResultsWSHWSH·SDSD
+2348th
Run differential
+17317th
67–78 Record75–68
5–5 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Washington Nationals (5–5)
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
San Diego Padres (4–6)
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—4
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Jake Irvin (5.57 ERA, 2–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Nick Pivetta (4.50 ERA, 1–2) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
5:10 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
WSH +165 · SD −200 · Total 8. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8. Lines are informational.
How have the Nationals and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 4–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.