INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
LIVE · B1Official lineupAL West / AL East

Los Angeles Angels   vs   Boston Red Sox Preview

September 7, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Fenway Park.

1:35 PM ET · Fenway ParkStats updated Sep 7, 12:35 PM ETLineups confirmed Sep 7, 11:35 AMLast update Sep 7, 12:15 PM ET
T-Score26
Los Angeles Angels
54–89 · 5th AL West · T-Score 26
0
0–0
LIVE · B1
Boston Red Sox
79–65 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 78
0
T-Score78
LIVE · B1LAA +150 · BOS −179 · Total 8.5
LAA +150 · BOS −179 · Total 8.5Last update Sep 7, 12:15 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxBello holds a modest edge in P-Score and FIP, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handSoxBoston owns a .714 OPS vs RHP, 17th in MLB; Los ranks 30th vs RHP.
BullpenSoxBoston owns a 3.32 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Los's 3.95.
Starter formAngelsRodriguez has a 3.71 ERA over his last five starts, while Bello is at 5.50.
Recent formSoxBoston has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.

Starting pitchers

LAA
Grayson Rodriguez RHP
Grayson Rodriguez
Los Angeles Angels
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
6.03
206th
WHIP
1.52
196th
K/9
8.34
100th
BB/9
3.82
161st
P-Score44i
FIP
4.76
HR/9
1.39
152nd
OPS/R
0.718
IP
77.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA7.54
Road ERA3.90
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.71
MarlRoyaAstrGuarYank
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
BOS
Brayan Bello RHP
Brayan Bello
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.07
164th
WHIP
1.46
177th
K/9
6.45
192nd
BB/9
3.04
103rd
P-Score42i
FIP
4.33
HR/9
1.01
82nd
OPS/R
0.708
IP
97.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.34
Road ERA5.71
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.50
AthlDiamMarlYankMari
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Rodriguez strikes out 1.9 more batters per nine innings.
·Bello enters with a 5.07 ERA compared with Rodriguez's 6.03.
·Rodriguez has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.38 more per nine innings.
·Bello averages 7.3 more innings per start.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricRodriguezBelloNote
ERA−146118Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.764.33
WAR0.40.5Season value.
Career vs opponent– ERA, 3 GS– ERA, 4 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Rodriguez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam54%96.2
Changeup25%83.2
Curveball10%80.8
Slider10%85.0
Bello arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker40%95.3
Changeup20%88.9
Cutter16%87.5
Sweeper12%85.8
Four-seam8%95.4
Curveball4%83.4

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Angels vs RHP (Brayan Bello)
30th
in MLB
0.678OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Sox vs RHP (Grayson Rodriguez)
17th
in MLB
0.714OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Official lineupOfficial batting order.Full lineup page →
Los Angeles AngelsOfficial lineupvs RHP Brayan Bello
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Bello (BvP)
1Zach NetoRSS70.74723.7233-for-9Very small sample
2Mike TroutRCF79.80220.7900-for-3Very small sample
3Wade MecklerLLF51.7573.800No MLB historyNo history
4Vaughn GrissomR2B59.69410.699No MLB historyNo history
5Moisés BallesterosLDH47.5927.612No MLB historyNo history
6Christian MooreR2B—.4921.473No MLB historyNo history
7Josh LoweLLF45.63511.6877-for-22Small sample
8Kyren ParisR2B—1.0000–No MLB historyNo history
9Tyler HeinemanSC23.4501.5000-for-1Very small sample
1Zach Neto SS · R.238 / .747 · 23 HRvs hand .723 · 3-for-9 · Very small sample70H-Score2Mike Trout CF · R.243 / .802 · 20 HRvs hand .790 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample79H-Score3Wade Meckler LF · L.297 / .757 · 3 HRvs hand .800 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score4Vaughn Grissom 2B · R.246 / .694 · 10 HRvs hand .699 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score5Moisés Ballesteros DH · L.208 / .592 · 7 HRvs hand .612 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score6Christian Moore 2B · R.167 / .492 · 1 HRvs hand .473 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Josh Lowe LF · L.209 / .635 · 11 HRvs hand .687 · 7-for-22 · Small sample45H-Score8Kyren Paris 2B · R.000 / 1.000 · 0 HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Tyler Heineman C · S.174 / .450 · 1 HRvs hand .500 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample23H-Score
Boston Red SoxOfficial lineupvs RHP Grayson Rodriguez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Rodriguez (BvP)
1Roman AnthonyLLF66.7373.785No MLB historyNo history
2Mickey GasperSDH70.8878.974No MLB historyNo history
3Adley RutschmanSC69.73211.776No MLB historyNo history
4Wilyer AbreuLRF82.79923.7534-for-8Very small sample
5Trevor StoryRSS33.6083.6160-for-3Very small sample
6Caleb DurbinR3B56.70512.713No MLB historyNo history
7Jarren DuranLLF54.61419.6102-for-6Very small sample
8Isiah Kiner-FalefaR2B44.6992.7951-for-3Very small sample
9Eli WhiteRRF43.6956.684No MLB historyNo history
1Roman Anthony LF · L.243 / .737 · 3 HRvs hand .785 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score2Mickey Gasper DH · S.276 / .887 · 8 HRvs hand .974 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score3Adley Rutschman C · S.237 / .732 · 11 HRvs hand .776 · No MLB history · No history69H-Score4Wilyer Abreu RF · L.256 / .799 · 23 HRvs hand .753 · 4-for-8 · Very small sample82H-Score5Trevor Story SS · R.237 / .608 · 3 HRvs hand .616 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample33H-Score6Caleb Durbin 3B · R.247 / .705 · 12 HRvs hand .713 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score7Jarren Duran LF · L.202 / .614 · 19 HRvs hand .610 · 2-for-6 · Very small sample54H-Score8Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B · R.273 / .699 · 2 HRvs hand .795 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample44H-Score9Eli White RF · R.246 / .695 · 6 HRvs hand .684 · No MLB history · No history43H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseLAALAA·BOSBOS
AVG.233 28th.248 8th
OPS.677 30th.727 8th
Home runs136 27th149 23rd
Runs577 29th642 14th
OBP.308 29th.322 9th
SLG.369 30th.405 11th
PitchingLAALAA·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.21vs3.60
LAABOS
WHIP1.34vs1.23
LAABOS
K/99.1vs8.7
LAABOS
HR Allowed148vs141
LAABOS
BullpenLAALAA·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.95vs3.32
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.30vs1.19
no league rank
Saves21vs40
LAABOS
ResultsLAALAA·BOSBOS
+12322nd
Run differential
+2506th
54–89 Record79–65
2–8 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Angels (2–8)
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
Boston Red Sox (6–4)
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
5—1
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Angels?+
Grayson Rodriguez (6.03 ERA, 4–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Brayan Bello (5.07 ERA, 5–7) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:35 PM ET at Fenway Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Yes. Both batting orders on this page are official (posted Sep 7, 11:35 AM ET).
What is the current moneyline?+
LAA +150 · BOS −179 · Total 8.5. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Angels and Sox performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Sox 1–5 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Grayson Rodriguez is at 44; Brayan Bello is at 42. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.