Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPhilliesWheeler owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthBrewersMilwaukee leads 76–55 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherModerate impactA 9 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Wheeler allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.06 WHIP compared with 1.32.
·Wheeler enters with a 2.99 ERA compared with May's 4.61.
·Wheeler owns a 10.6 K/9 compared with May's 8.8.
·May allows the lower home-run rate: 0.77 vs 1.20 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | May | Wheeler | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 109 | 72 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.42 | 3.54 | |
| WAR | 2.9 | 3.3 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
May arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 25% | 96.9 |
| Cutter | 23% | 93.3 |
| Sinker | 19% | 96.6 |
| Sweeper | 18% | 86.0 |
| Curveball | 7% | 83.5 |
| Changeup | 6% | 90.2 |
Wheeler arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 36% | 95.2 |
| Sinker | 16% | 94.8 |
| Splitter | 15% | 87.4 |
| Sweeper | 14% | 81.3 |
| Cutter | 10% | 90.8 |
| Curveball | 8% | 79.9 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.761OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.708OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
MIL·
PHI+3762nd
Run differential
+26311th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Dustin May is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Zack Wheeler is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Citizens Bank Park, home of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Dustin May is at 53; Zack Wheeler is at 70. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.