Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
↓ ERA trending down lately
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins (2026-07-27). Zack Wheeler vs Tyler Phillips at loanDepot park.
Starters — Wheeler enters with a 2.16 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 100.0 IP, backed by elite swing-and-miss and control numbers with 10.53 K/9 and 1.98 BB/9. His 0.99 HR/9 is steady, and his last three starts were excellent: 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 9 K, 0 BB; 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 10 K, 2 BB; and 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 14 K, 0 BB. The trend is down, which fits his recent run prevention. Phillips has a 3.52 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over 79.1 IP, with a lower-strikeout profile at 6.58 K/9 and shakier command at 4.08 BB/9. His 1.02 HR/9 is close to Wheeler’s, but traffic has been more of an issue. His last three starts: 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 2 K, 1 BB; 1.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 K, 1 BB; and 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 2 BB. The trend is up, suggesting some recent stabilization despite uneven workload depth.
Teams — Philadelphia has a .704 OPS, 460 runs, and a .236 team average. On the pitching side, the Phillies carry a 4.21 team ERA and 1.30 WHIP, and they are 4-6 over their last 10. Miami has been slightly better offensively by the raw season numbers with a .729 OPS, 464 runs, and a .250 average. The Marlins also hold a slightly better team ERA and WHIP at 4.09 and 1.26. However, their recent form is a major flag at 0-10 in the last 10 games, which matters when weighing current lineup support and bullpen confidence.
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