INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
NYLATYOBERLON
THU · SEP 10, 2026
SEP 10
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

Chicago Cubs   vs   St. Louis Cardinals Preview

July 27, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Busch Stadium.

7:45 PM ET · Busch StadiumStats updated Jul 27, 8:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jul 27, 9:19 PM ET
T-Score66
Chicago Cubs
81–66 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 66
7
7–3
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
72–75 · 4th NL Central · T-Score 42
3
T-Score42
FINALCHC −117 · STL +108 · Total 9.5
CHC −117 · STL +108 · Total 9.5Last update Jul 27, 9:19 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCardinalsLiberatore owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handCubsChicago has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
BullpenCardinalsSt. has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formCubsChicago has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Plate disciplineCubsChicago has drawn 457 walks this season, 120 more than St..

Starting pitchers

CHC
David Peterson LHP
David Peterson
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.28
179th
WHIP
1.58
208th
K/9
8.02
119th
BB/9
4.04
176th
P-Score48i
FIP
4.14
HR/9
0.96
69th
OPS/R
0.809
IP
131.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA6.44
Road ERA4.11
Last 5 starts
ERA
6.12
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
STL
Matthew Liberatore LHP
Matthew Liberatore
St. Louis Cardinals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.57
189th
WHIP
1.47
183rd
K/9
9.32
57th
BB/9
3.17
115th
P-Score51i
FIP
4.52
HR/9
1.62
187th
OPS/R
0.802
IP
139.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA5.87
Road ERA5.27
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.06
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Peterson allows the lower home-run rate: 0.96 vs 1.62 per nine.
·Liberatore owns a 9.3 K/9 compared with Peterson's 8.0.
·The WHIP gap favors Liberatore, 1.47 to 1.58.
·Peterson averages 2.5 more innings per start.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricPetersonLiberatoreNote
ERA−129136Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.144.52
WAR1.21.1Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Peterson arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker30%92.1
Four-seam24%92.5
Slider22%86.3
Changeup13%85.7
Curveball10%80.5
Liberatore arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam30%94.4
Slider26%86.1
Curveball17%79.6
Changeup13%88.6
Sinker8%94.3
Cutter4%90.4
Sweeper0%85.1
Splitter0%87.0

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs LHP (Matthew Liberatore)
1st
in MLB
0.805OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cardinals vs LHP (David Peterson)
13th
in MLB
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs LHP Matthew Liberatore
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Liberatore (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF89.94741.931No MLB historyNo history
2Seiya SuzukiRRF79.84124.974No MLB historyNo history
3Alex BregmanR3B77.78924.891No MLB historyNo history
4Carson KellyRC62.72410.899No MLB historyNo history
5Michael BuschL1B70.73318.733No MLB historyNo history
6Nico HoernerR2B53.6768.689No MLB historyNo history
7Ian HappSLF70.73723.499No MLB historyNo history
8Dansby SwansonRSS63.70418.767No MLB historyNo history
9Miguel AmayaRC51.7035.713No MLB historyNo history
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.281 / .947 · 41 HRvs hand .931 · No MLB history · No history89H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.267 / .841 · 24 HRvs hand .974 · No MLB history · No history79H-Score3Alex Bregman 3B · R.260 / .789 · 24 HRvs hand .891 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score4Carson Kelly C · R.259 / .724 · 10 HRvs hand .899 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score5Michael Busch 1B · L.235 / .733 · 18 HRvs hand .733 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.266 / .676 · 8 HRvs hand .689 · No MLB history · No history53H-Score7Ian Happ LF · S.219 / .737 · 23 HRvs hand .499 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score8Dansby Swanson SS · R.216 / .704 · 18 HRvs hand .767 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score9Miguel Amaya C · R.234 / .703 · 5 HRvs hand .713 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score
St. Louis CardinalsOfficial lineupvs LHP David Peterson
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Peterson (BvP)
1JJ WetherholtL2B72.71317.664No MLB historyNo history
2Jordan WalkerRRF82.82628.915No MLB historyNo history
3Iván HerreraRDH71.74716.787No MLB historyNo history
4Alec BurlesonL1B82.81722.537No MLB historyNo history
5Masyn WinnRSS48.6355.764No MLB historyNo history
6Nelson VelázquezRLF51.6515.709No MLB historyNo history
7José FermínRLF47.6576.769No MLB historyNo history
8Lars NootbaarLDH67.7156.455No MLB historyNo history
9Blaze JordanR3B52.6583.823No MLB historyNo history
1JJ Wetherholt 2B · L.242 / .713 · 17 HRvs hand .664 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score2Jordan Walker RF · R.281 / .826 · 28 HRvs hand .915 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score3Iván Herrera DH · R.251 / .747 · 16 HRvs hand .787 · No MLB history · No history71H-Score4Alec Burleson 1B · L.283 / .817 · 22 HRvs hand .537 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score5Masyn Winn SS · R.236 / .635 · 5 HRvs hand .764 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score6Nelson Velázquez LF · R.191 / .651 · 5 HRvs hand .709 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score7José Fermín LF · R.242 / .657 · 6 HRvs hand .769 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score8Lars Nootbaar DH · L.236 / .715 · 6 HRvs hand .455 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score9Blaze Jordan 3B · R.247 / .658 · 3 HRvs hand .823 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·STLSTL
AVG.251 6th.243 16th
OPS.768 1st.702 26th
Home runs203 1st156 21st
Runs780 1st668 9th
OBP.339 2nd.317 14th
SLG.429 1st.385 26th
PitchingCHCCHC·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.22vs4.31
CHCSTL
WHIP1.27vs1.35
CHCSTL
K/97.8vs8.0
CHCSTL
HR Allowed221vs146
CHCSTL
BullpenCHCCHC·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.39vs3.93
no league rank
Saves32vs43
CHCSTL
ResultsCHCCHC·STLSTL
+3013rd
Run differential
+17518th
81–66 Record72–75
6–4 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (6–4)
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
St. Louis Cardinals (3–7)
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
8—5
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
David Peterson (5.97 ERA, 5–7) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Matthew Liberatore (5.18 ERA, 5–7) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:45 PM ET at Busch Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Busch Stadium, home of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
CHC −117 · STL +108 · Total 9.5. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 9.5, opened at 10. Lines are informational.
How have the Cubs and Cardinals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cardinals 5–8 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
David Peterson is at 48; Matthew Liberatore is at 51. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.