Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (2026-07-27). Martín Pérez vs Zac Thornton at Citi Field.

Starters — Pérez has a 3.38 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 85.1 innings with 6.86 K/9, 3.80 BB/9, and 1.05 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 4.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 4 BB on July 22; 4.1 IP, 4 ER, 1 K, 2 BB on July 5; and 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 1 K, 3 BB on June 30. The recent trend is down, with limited swing-and-miss and some control leakage. Thornton has a 1.93 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and 23.1 innings with 6.56 K/9, 2.31 BB/9, and 0.39 HR/9. His last three starts have been excellent: 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB on July 21; 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB on July 12; and 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB on June 26. He has allowed just 1 earned run across those 19 innings.

Teams — Atlanta brings the stronger offensive profile with a .733 OPS, .249 average, and 520 runs scored. The Braves also pair that with a 3.64 team ERA and 1.24 WHIP, and they enter on a 7-3 run over their last 10 games. New York has a .685 OPS, .233 average, and 432 runs scored, so the lineup production has been lighter by comparison. The Mets’ staff has a 4.19 ERA and 1.31 WHIP overall, and they are 4-6 in their last 10. From a betting matchup standpoint, Atlanta shows the better full-season team form, while New York gets the edge in the starting pitching slot based on current performance.