INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
NYLATYOBERLON
THU · SEP 10, 2026
SEP 10
FinalFinal lineupsNL East

Atlanta Braves   vs   New York Mets Preview

July 27, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Citi Field.

7:10 PM ET · Citi FieldStats updated Jul 27, 6:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jul 27, 7:04 PM ET
T-Score81
Atlanta Braves
85–61 · 1st NL East · T-Score 81
3
3–14
FINAL
New York Mets
68–78 · 4th NL East · T-Score 32
14
T-Score32
FINALATL +101 · NYM −109 · Total 8.5
ATL +101 · NYM −109 · Total 8.5Last update Jul 27, 7:04 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMetsThe starters are close overall, but Thornton owns the better strikeout and control profile.
LineupMetsNew's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenBravesAtlanta has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formBravesAtlanta has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthBravesAtlanta leads 81–32 in T-Score, driven by recent team form.

Starting pitchers

ATL
Martín Pérez LHP
Martín Pérez
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.25
41st
WHIP
1.27
95th
K/9
6.79
178th
BB/9
3.90
165th
P-Score55i
FIP
4.31
HR/9
0.94
64th
OPS/R
0.655
IP
124.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA1.99
Road ERA4.76
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.63
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
NYM
Zac Thornton LHP
Zac Thornton
New York Mets
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.53
61st
WHIP
1.19
62nd
K/9
6.92
172nd
BB/9
2.04
19th
P-Score55i
FIP
4.48
HR/9
1.49
172nd
OPS/R
0.803
IP
66.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.80
Road ERA2.95
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.93
QUALITY
START %
75%
(3 of 4)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Thornton walks 1.9 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Pérez allows the lower home-run rate: 0.94 vs 1.49 per nine.
·Thornton has produced a quality start in 75% of outings versus 20%.
·Thornton owns a 1.93 ERA over his last five starts, compared with 4.63 for Pérez.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricPérezThorntonNote
ERA−7886Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.314.48
WAR1.20.5Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Pérez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker35%89.3
Changeup31%81.7
Cutter22%85.1
Curveball8%76.8
Four-seam5%89.9
Thornton arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter31%88.3
Four-seam25%92.1
Sweeper17%79.9
Sinker10%92.3
Slider10%84.7
Curveball4%79.4
Changeup4%84.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs LHP (Zac Thornton)
18th
in MLB
0.696OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Mets vs LHP (Martín Pérez)
22nd
in MLB
0.689OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs LHP Zac Thornton
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Thornton (BvP)
1Ronald Acuña Jr.RRF76.78816.723No MLB historyNo history
2Drake BaldwinLC81.80523.691No MLB historyNo history
3Matt OlsonL1B85.82737.806No MLB historyNo history
4Ozzie AlbiesS2B60.71021.758No MLB historyNo history
5Michael Harris IILCF79.80324.767No MLB historyNo history
6Mauricio DubónRLF55.69511.656No MLB historyNo history
7Austin RileyR3B61.65816.655No MLB historyNo history
8Joey BartRC37.6624.536No MLB historyNo history
9Jim JarvisLSS34.5641.567No MLB historyNo history
1Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R.253 / .788 · 16 HRvs hand .723 · No MLB history · No history76H-Score2Drake Baldwin C · L.276 / .805 · 23 HRvs hand .691 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score3Matt Olson 1B · L.248 / .827 · 37 HRvs hand .806 · No MLB history · No history85H-Score4Ozzie Albies 2B · S.247 / .710 · 21 HRvs hand .758 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score5Michael Harris II CF · L.287 / .803 · 24 HRvs hand .767 · No MLB history · No history79H-Score6Mauricio Dubón LF · R.266 / .695 · 11 HRvs hand .656 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score7Austin Riley 3B · R.222 / .658 · 16 HRvs hand .655 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score8Joey Bart C · R.214 / .662 · 4 HRvs hand .536 · No MLB history · No history37H-Score9Jim Jarvis SS · L.207 / .564 · 1 HRvs hand .567 · No MLB history · No history34H-Score
New York MetsOfficial lineupvs LHP Martín Pérez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Pérez (BvP)
1A.J. EwingLCF57.6928.730No MLB historyNo history
2Francisco LindorSSS72.74718.657No MLB historyNo history
3Bo BichetteR3B68.71616.784No MLB historyNo history
4Luis Robert Jr.RCF61.70711.753No MLB historyNo history
5Francisco AlvarezRC66.72015.619No MLB historyNo history
6Jared YoungL1B64.7608.595No MLB historyNo history
7Tyrone TaylorRLF68.84911.964No MLB historyNo history
8Marcus SemienR2B48.62914.655No MLB historyNo history
9Luis TorrensRC56.7028.759No MLB historyNo history
1A.J. Ewing CF · L.252 / .692 · 8 HRvs hand .730 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score2Francisco Lindor SS · S.229 / .747 · 18 HRvs hand .657 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score3Bo Bichette 3B · R.265 / .716 · 16 HRvs hand .784 · No MLB history · No history68H-Score4Luis Robert Jr. CF · R.221 / .707 · 11 HRvs hand .753 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score5Francisco Alvarez C · R.232 / .720 · 15 HRvs hand .619 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score6Jared Young 1B · L.268 / .760 · 8 HRvs hand .595 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score7Tyrone Taylor LF · R.284 / .849 · 11 HRvs hand .964 · No MLB history · No history68H-Score8Marcus Semien 2B · R.218 / .629 · 14 HRvs hand .655 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score9Luis Torrens C · R.240 / .702 · 8 HRvs hand .759 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·NYMNYM
AVG.246 13th.238 21st
OPS.718 17th.703 24th
Home runs183 7th181 8th
Runs668 10th627 22nd
OBP.309 29th.309 25th
SLG.409 6th.394 22nd
PitchingATLATL·NYMNYM
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.59vs4.19
ATLNYM
WHIP1.25vs1.31
ATLNYM
K/98.6vs9.0
ATLNYM
HR Allowed162vs163
ATLNYM
BullpenATLATL·NYMNYM
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.42vs4.22
no league rank
Saves45vs29
ATLNYM
ResultsATLATL·NYMNYM
+2446th
Run differential
+13223rd
85–61 Record68–78
7–3 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (7–3)
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
New York Mets (4–6)
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
8—5
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
Martín Pérez (3.38 ERA, 6–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mets?+
Zac Thornton (1.93 ERA, 1–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Citi Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Citi Field, home of the New York Mets.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
ATL +101 · NYM −109 · Total 8.5. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Braves and Mets performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Mets 5–8 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Martín Pérez is at 55; Zac Thornton is at 55. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.