INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
NYLATYOBERLON
THU · SEP 10, 2026
SEP 10
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / NL East

Toronto Blue Jays   vs   Washington Nationals Preview

July 27, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Nationals Park.

6:45 PM ET · Nationals ParkStats updated Jul 27, 6:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jul 27, 6:37 PM ET
T-Score42
Toronto Blue Jays
73–74 · 4th AL East · T-Score 42
3
3–2
FINAL
Washington Nationals
67–81 · 5th NL East · T-Score 45
2
T-Score45
FINALTOR +113 · WSH −123 · Total 10.5
TOR +113 · WSH −123 · Total 10.5Last update Jul 27, 6:37 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherNationalsYean leads Scherzer in P-Score (– vs 33), WHIP and FIP.
Offense vs handNationalsWashington has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupNationalsWashington's official lineup includes 6 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenJaysToronto has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formNationalsWashington has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Starting pitchers

TOR
Max Scherzer RHP
Max Scherzer
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
6.03
207th
WHIP
1.36
144th
K/9
6.89
174th
BB/9
3.88
164th
P-Score33i
FIP
5.65
HR/9
1.87
207th
OPS/R
0.657
IP
62.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA6.23
Road ERA5.70
Last 5 starts
ERA
13.50
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
47
WSH
Eddy Yean RHP
Eddy Yean
Washington Nationals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.45
WHIP
0.91
K/9
5.73
BB/9
1.64
FIP
4.09
HR/9
0.82
OPS/R
1.013
IP
11.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.00
Road ERA1.80
Last 5 starts
ERA
0.00
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 3)
DAYS
REST
2
How the starters differ
·Yean owns the lower FIP, 4.09 to 5.65.
·Yean allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.91 WHIP compared with 1.36.
·Yean allows the lower home-run rate: 0.82 vs 1.87 per nine.
·Scherzer owns a 6.9 K/9 compared with Yean's 5.7.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricScherzerYeanNote
ERA−14642Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.654.09
WAR-0.20.1Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Scherzer arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%93.2
Slider18%85.6
Changeup15%84.1
Curveball14%75.0
Cutter6%88.0
Yean arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker58%96.8
Changeup30%89.4
Slider10%88.7
Four-seam2%96.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Jays vs RHP (Eddy Yean)
22nd
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Nationals vs RHP (Max Scherzer)
9th
in MLB
0.738OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Toronto Blue JaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Eddy Yean
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Yean (BvP)
1Ernie ClementR2B48.6829.689No MLB historyNo history
2Nathan LukesLRF52.71410.765No MLB historyNo history
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.R1B65.6828.651No MLB historyNo history
4George SpringerRDH64.72814.764No MLB historyNo history
5Alejandro KirkRC67.7649.745No MLB historyNo history
6Kazuma OkamotoR3B74.75730.724No MLB historyNo history
7Daulton VarshoLCF51.66111.682No MLB historyNo history
8Luis UríasR2B—.80331.011No MLB historyNo history
9Myles StrawRCF44.6453.653No MLB historyNo history
1Ernie Clement 2B · R.273 / .682 · 9 HRvs hand .689 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score2Nathan Lukes RF · L.274 / .714 · 10 HRvs hand .765 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R.260 / .682 · 8 HRvs hand .651 · No MLB history · No history65H-Score4George Springer DH · R.246 / .728 · 14 HRvs hand .764 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score5Alejandro Kirk C · R.276 / .764 · 9 HRvs hand .745 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score6Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R.232 / .757 · 30 HRvs hand .724 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score7Daulton Varsho CF · L.230 / .661 · 11 HRvs hand .682 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score8Luis Urías 2B · R.250 / .803 · 3 HRvs hand 1.011 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Myles Straw CF · R.236 / .645 · 3 HRvs hand .653 · No MLB history · No history44H-Score
Washington NationalsOfficial lineupvs RHP Max Scherzer
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Scherzer (BvP)
1James WoodLRF88.91930.968No MLB historyNo history
2Luis García Jr.L1B83.87029.899No MLB historyNo history
3José TenaLDH55.6847.664No MLB historyNo history
4CJ AbramsLSS78.82730.891No MLB historyNo history
5Dylan CrewsRRF56.67311.587No MLB historyNo history
6Daylen LileLLF69.73620.782No MLB historyNo history
7Keibert RuizSC64.77710.786No MLB historyNo history
8Jorbit VivasL3B45.6613.677No MLB historyNo history
9Nasim NuñezS2B33.5341.513No MLB historyNo history
1James Wood RF · L.266 / .919 · 30 HRvs hand .968 · No MLB history · No history88H-Score2Luis García Jr. 1B · L.288 / .870 · 29 HRvs hand .899 · No MLB history · No history83H-Score3José Tena DH · L.227 / .684 · 7 HRvs hand .664 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score4CJ Abrams SS · L.259 / .827 · 30 HRvs hand .891 · No MLB history · No history78H-Score5Dylan Crews RF · R.224 / .673 · 11 HRvs hand .587 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score6Daylen Lile LF · L.251 / .736 · 20 HRvs hand .782 · No MLB history · No history69H-Score7Keibert Ruiz C · S.283 / .777 · 10 HRvs hand .786 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score8Jorbit Vivas 3B · L.240 / .661 · 3 HRvs hand .677 · No MLB history · No history45H-Score9Nasim Nuñez 2B · S.210 / .534 · 1 HRvs hand .513 · No MLB history · No history33H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTORTOR·WSHWSH
AVG.248 8th.247 11th
OPS.692 27th.751 3rd
Home runs140 28th198 2nd
Runs589 29th756 2nd
OBP.309 26th.323 7th
SLG.383 27th.428 2nd
PitchingTORTOR·WSHWSH
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.91vs4.75
TORWSH
WHIP1.29vs1.40
TORWSH
K/98.7vs7.9
TORWSH
HR Allowed153vs199
TORWSH
BullpenTORTOR·WSHWSH
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.00vs4.69
no league rank
Saves50vs34
TORWSH
ResultsTORTOR·WSHWSH
+15221st
Run differential
+2349th
73–74 Record67–81
3–7 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Toronto Blue Jays (3–7)
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
Washington Nationals (6–4)
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—0
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Jays?+
Max Scherzer (10.23 ERA, 1–4) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Eddy Yean (0.00 ERA, 0–0) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Nationals Park, home of the Washington Nationals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
TOR +113 · WSH −123 · Total 10.5. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 10.5, opened at 10. Lines are informational.
How have the Jays and Nationals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Nationals 0–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.