INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL West / NL Central

Arizona Diamondbacks 2, Pittsburgh Pirates 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:40 PM ET · PNC ParkGame-day snapshot Jul 27, 6:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 24, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score39
Arizona Diamondbacks
86–76 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 39
2
2–3
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
82–80 · 3rd NL Central · T-Score 43
3
T-Score43
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPiratesThe starters are close overall, but Keller owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handPiratesPittsburgh has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formEvenBoth clubs are 3–2 in their last five, with only a 21-run difference in run differential.
PowerPiratesPittsburgh has 135 home runs this season, 32 more than Arizona.

Starting pitchers

AZ
Merrill Kelly RHP
Merrill Kelly
Arizona Diamondbacks
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.12
162nd
WHIP
1.48
178th
K/9
5.64
199th
BB/9
3.56
171st
P-Score40i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.91
174th
OPS/R
–
IP
103.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.54
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
PIT
Mitch Keller RHP
Mitch Keller
Pittsburgh Pirates
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.90
178th
WHIP
1.31
142nd
K/9
6.90
172nd
BB/9
3.07
122nd
P-Score44i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.08
105th
OPS/R
–
IP
108.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.81
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Keller allows the lower home-run rate: 1.08 vs 1.91 per nine.
·Keller allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.31 WHIP compared with 1.48.
·Keller owns a 6.9 K/9 compared with Kelly's 5.6.
·Keller has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 20%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Kelly arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup28%88.5
Four-seam28%92.1
Cutter13%91.0
Curveball12%82.5
Slider10%86.3
Sinker10%92.4
Keller arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam32%93.3
Sinker17%92.3
Sweeper16%81.9
Slider9%87.2
Changeup9%88.7
Curveball9%77.8
Cutter8%89.7

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Diamondbacks vs RHP (Mitch Keller)
26th
in MLB
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Pirates vs RHP (Merrill Kelly)
6th
in MLB
0.749OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Arizona DiamondbacksOfficial lineupvs RHP Mitch Keller
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Keller (BvP)
1Corbin CarrollLRF75.79522.727No MLB historyNo history
2Geraldo PerdomoSSS60.7479.762No MLB historyNo history
3Gabriel MorenoRC75.87416.909No MLB historyNo history
4Ketel MarteS2B70.74822.687No MLB historyNo history
5Max KeplerLLF33.5652.539No MLB historyNo history
6Tyler LocklearR1B—.8011.879No MLB historyNo history
7Adrian Del CastilloLDH31.5555.608No MLB historyNo history
8Ildemaro VargasS1B47.6759.580No MLB historyNo history
9Ryan WaldschmidtRCF38.6933.670No MLB historyNo history
1Corbin Carroll RF · L.239 / .795 · 22 HRvs hand .727 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score2Geraldo Perdomo SS · S.262 / .747 · 9 HRvs hand .762 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score3Gabriel Moreno C · R.311 / .874 · 16 HRvs hand .909 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score4Ketel Marte 2B · S.249 / .748 · 22 HRvs hand .687 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score5Max Kepler LF · L.205 / .565 · 2 HRvs hand .539 · No MLB history · No history33H-Score6Tyler Locklear 1B · R.278 / .801 · 1 HRvs hand .879 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Adrian Del Castillo DH · L.193 / .555 · 5 HRvs hand .608 · No MLB history · No history31H-Score8Ildemaro Vargas 1B · S.254 / .675 · 9 HRvs hand .580 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score9Ryan Waldschmidt CF · R.256 / .693 · 3 HRvs hand .670 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score
Pittsburgh PiratesOfficial lineupvs RHP Merrill Kelly
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Kelly (BvP)
1Jake MangumSCF40.6945.700No MLB historyNo history
2Brandon LoweL2B73.82435.910No MLB historyNo history
3Bryan ReynoldsSLF74.78917.779No MLB historyNo history
4Esmerlyn ValdezRRF72.85517.761No MLB historyNo history
5Ryan O'HearnLRF63.77018.839No MLB historyNo history
6Nick GonzalesR3B52.7556.790No MLB historyNo history
7Jacob GonzalezLSS41.6387.691No MLB historyNo history
8Tyler CallihanLLF29.6723.613No MLB historyNo history
9Henry DavisRC47.58510.658No MLB historyNo history
1Jake Mangum CF · S.276 / .694 · 5 HRvs hand .700 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score2Brandon Lowe 2B · L.260 / .824 · 35 HRvs hand .910 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score3Bryan Reynolds LF · S.261 / .789 · 17 HRvs hand .779 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score4Esmerlyn Valdez RF · R.232 / .855 · 17 HRvs hand .761 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score5Ryan O'Hearn RF · L.265 / .770 · 18 HRvs hand .839 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score6Nick Gonzales 3B · R.303 / .755 · 6 HRvs hand .790 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score7Jacob Gonzalez SS · L.220 / .638 · 7 HRvs hand .691 · No MLB history · No history41H-Score8Tyler Callihan LF · L.211 / .672 · 3 HRvs hand .613 · No MLB history · No history29H-Score9Henry Davis C · R.172 / .585 · 10 HRvs hand .658 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseAZAZ·PITPIT
AVG.246 11th.253 5th
OPS.720 13th.734 6th
Home runs166 25th186 13th
Runs739 11th767 6th
OBP.318 13th.330 4th
SLG.402 15th.404 9th
PitchingAZAZ·PITPIT
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.18vs4.14
AZPIT
WHIP1.28vs1.30
AZPIT
K/97.1vs9.3
AZPIT
HR Allowed186vs155
AZPIT
BullpenAZAZ·PITPIT
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.94vs4.18
no league rank
Saves38vs41
AZPIT
ResultsAZAZ·PITPIT
+37512th
Run differential
+4166th
86–76 Record82–80
6–4 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Arizona Diamondbacks (6–4)
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
Pittsburgh Pirates (5–5)
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—4
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Diamondbacks?+
Merrill Kelly (5.12 ERA, 8–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Mitch Keller (4.90 ERA, 6–7) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at PNC Park.
Where is the game being played?+
PNC Park, home of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Diamondbacks and Pirates performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Pirates 4–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Merrill Kelly is at 40; Mitch Keller is at 44. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.