INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
Today · 1:35 PM ETLineup pendingNL East

Philadelphia Phillies   vs   Atlanta Braves Preview

September 13, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form and weather at Truist Park.

1:35 PM ET · Truist ParkStats availableLineups not confirmed
T-Score65
Philadelphia Phillies
82–66 · 2nd NL East · T-Score 65
–
–––
First pitch 1:35 PM ET
Atlanta Braves
87–61 · 1st NL East · T-Score 54
–
T-Score54
First pitch 1:35 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handBravesAtlanta owns a .730 OPS vs RHP, 11th in MLB; Philadelphia ranks 19th vs RHP.
Team strengthPhilliesPhiladelphia leads 65–54 in T-Score.
WeatherLow impact82°F, wind 4 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

PHI
Andrew Painter RHP
Andrew Painter
Philadelphia Phillies
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.71
197th
WHIP
1.41
161st
K/9
7.91
125th
BB/9
3.18
119th
P-Score50i
FIP
4.77
HR/9
1.55
180th
OPS/R
0.744
IP
110.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA6.11
Road ERA5.34
Last 5 starts
ATL
Grant Holmes RHP
Grant Holmes
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.46
53rd
WHIP
1.29
105th
K/9
7.19
158th
BB/9
3.73
155th
P-Score49i
FIP
4.60
HR/9
1.24
126th
OPS/R
0.714
IP
137.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.54
Road ERA2.43
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Holmes enters with a 3.46 ERA compared with Painter's 5.71.
·Holmes allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.29 WHIP compared with 1.41.
·Painter has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.31 more per nine innings.
·Painter carries a 5.34 road ERA, compared with Holmes's 4.54 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricPainterHolmesNote
ERA−13283Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.774.60
WAR0.91.0Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Painter arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam32%96.5
Slider18%88.0
Sweeper16%82.7
Sinker9%95.1
Splitter9%87.4
Changeup9%90.5
Curveball6%81.2
Holmes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Slider37%85.3
Four-seam29%94.2
Sinker11%93.0
Cutter8%92.1
Curveball8%82.9
Changeup7%89.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Phillies vs RHP (Grant Holmes)
19th
in MLB
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Braves vs RHP (Andrew Painter)
11th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsPHIPHI·ATLATL
+2439th
Run differential
+2508th
82–66 Record87–61
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Phillies (0–0)
Atlanta Braves (0–0)
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—0
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Andrew Painter is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Braves?+
Grant Holmes is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:35 PM ET at Truist Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Truist Park, home of the Atlanta Braves.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Andrew Painter is at 50; Grant Holmes is at 49. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.