Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherAstrosWesneski leads Peralta in P-Score (55 vs 51), WHIP and FIP.
Offense vs handRaysTampa owns a .755 OPS vs RHP, 4th in MLB; Houston ranks 12th vs RHP.
WeatherLow impactWeather conditions are expected to have little effect on the normal scoring environment.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Wesneski allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.03 WHIP compared with 1.36.
·Wesneski enters with a 3.35 ERA compared with Peralta's 4.82.
·Wesneski allows the lower home-run rate: 0.59 vs 1.35 per nine.
·Peralta strikes out 1.3 more batters per nine innings.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Wesneski | Peralta | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 81 | 117 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.43 | 4.43 | |
| WAR | 1.0 | 1.5 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Wesneski arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sweeper | 30% | 81.1 |
| Four-seam | 24% | 93.6 |
| Sinker | 17% | 92.5 |
| Cutter | 16% | 89.4 |
| Changeup | 13% | 86.5 |
| Curveball | 0% | 72.6 |
Peralta arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 53% | 94.2 |
| Changeup | 23% | 87.2 |
| Curveball | 13% | 79.3 |
| Sweeper | 6% | 82.1 |
| Slider | 4% | 83.1 |
| Slow Curve | 1% | 74.8 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.727OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.755OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
HOU·
TB+21213th
Run differential
+22511th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Hayden Wesneski is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Freddy Peralta is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Hayden Wesneski is at 55; Freddy Peralta is at 51. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.