Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherJaysToronto has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Cease leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handOriolesBaltimore owns a .708 OPS vs RHP, 24th in MLB; Toronto ranks 29th vs LHP.
WeatherModerate impactA 12 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Cease strikes out 4.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Cease enters with a 2.40 ERA compared with Rogers's 4.15.
·Cease allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.04 WHIP compared with 1.21.
·Rogers has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.34 more per nine innings.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Rogers | Cease | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 102 | 58 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.44 | 2.47 | |
| WAR | 3.6 | 5.5 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Rogers arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 46% | 93.8 |
| Changeup | 21% | 87.0 |
| Sweeper | 14% | 78.1 |
| Sinker | 10% | 93.4 |
| Cutter | 9% | 83.1 |
Cease arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 37% | 97.0 |
| Slider | 30% | 88.8 |
| Changeup | 12% | 81.6 |
| Knuckle Curve | 10% | 81.9 |
| Sinker | 8% | 95.9 |
| Sweeper | 4% | 83.4 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.708OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.654OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
BAL·
TOR+20615th
Run differential
+15221st
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Trevor Rogers is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Jays?+
Dylan Cease is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:37 PM ET at Rogers Centre.
Where is the game being played?+
Rogers Centre, home of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Trevor Rogers is at 65; Dylan Cease is at 87. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.