Season Schedule
OffSTRegASGRegPostWSOff
Road to Playoffs
Open board →
Playoff odds, bubble teams & races — 30 clubs
3in the bubble

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Monday, Jul 20, 2026Rogers CentreFinal
TB · Away · 56-42

Tampa Bay Rays

AL East · 1st · —
7:1
Final
H2H 76
TOR · Home · 46-53

Toronto Blue Jays

AL East · 2nd · 10.5 GB
Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season2.65
Last 53.40
0.75 ERA worse in last 5
10 days restQS 20%Blow-up 0/5
306/15
306/21
106/26
107/03
207/10

↓ ERA trending down lately

Season2.56
Last 51.84
0.72 ERA better in last 5
12 days restQS 40%Blow-up 0/5
006/16
206/22
406/27
007/03
007/08

↓ ERA trending down lately

Matchup edge
Dylan Cease hotter lately (L5 1.84 ERA)·Rays 46 L10
PitchingToronto
Rays63Toronto77
HittingRays
Rays39Toronto26
BullpenRays
Rays57Toronto48
Lineup threats vs starter
Rays vs Dylan Cease
Avg OPS 0.9764 hot hittersTop: Simpson 2.000 · Aranda 1.167 · Caminero 1.000
Toronto vs Nick Martinez
Avg OPS 1.2755 hot hittersTop: Giménez 2.000 · Clement 1.250 · Okamoto 1.167
Tampa Bay Rays batters vs Dylan Cease
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.188
0.597
13
0.500
1.167
14
0.500
1.000
29
0.400
0.900
11
1.000
2.000
0
0.333
0.666
3
0.000
0.000
2
0.000
0.500
0
Toronto Blue Jays batters vs Nick Martinez
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.250
1.250
8
0.500
1.000
10
0.500
1.167
22
0.000
0.000
7
0.000
0.000
2
1.000
2.000
7
0.000
0.000
3
◆ Matchup preview

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (2026-07-20). Nick Martinez vs Dylan Cease at Rogers Centre.

Starters — Martinez has a 2.65 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across 105.1 innings, with a modest 5.3 K/9, excellent 1.62 BB/9, and 0.94 HR/9. His last three starts were steady: 5.1 innings and 2 earned runs with 1 strikeout and 1 walk, then 5.1 innings and 1 earned run with 3 strikeouts and 1 walk, then 5.2 innings and 1 earned run with 3 strikeouts and no walks. The trend is listed down, but the recent run prevention and control remain strong. Cease enters with a 2.56 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 98.1 innings, backed by an elite 13.55 K/9, a higher 4.03 BB/9, and a stingy 0.46 HR/9. His last three starts show dominant upside: 8 scoreless innings with 11 strikeouts and 3 walks, 7 scoreless innings with 9 strikeouts and 1 walk, and before that 4.2 innings with 4 earned runs, 10 strikeouts, and 5 walks. His trend is also listed down, but his strikeout ceiling has been obvious.

Teams — Tampa Bay brings the stronger offensive profile with a .731 OPS, 435 runs, and a .257 average. The Rays also have the better run prevention numbers overall, carrying a 3.90 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP, though they are 4-6 over their last 10 games. Toronto has a .687 OPS, 397 runs, and a .242 average. The Blue Jays’ staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, and they are also 4-6 in their last 10. From a matchup standpoint, Tampa Bay looks more balanced on the season, while Toronto leans more heavily on Cease’s swing-and-miss advantage to shape the game.

Key facts
Tampa Bay offense leads this matchup with a .731 OPS and 435 runsDylan Cease owns a 13.55 K/9 with only 5 home runs allowed in 98.1 inningsRays pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and 1.18 WHIP compared with Toronto’s 4.14 ERA and 1.30 WHIP
◆ Lineup notes

Yandy Díaz has the deepest history against Dylan Cease, going 3-for-16 in 22 PA with a .597 OPS. Jonathan Aranda has fared well in a smaller sample at 2-for-4 in 6 PA with a 1.167 OPS, and Junior Caminero is 1-for-2 with a 1.000 OPS. Cedric Mullins is 2-for-5 in 6 PA with a .900 OPS, while Chandler Simpson is 1-for-1 in 2 PA with a 2.000 OPS and Richie Palacios is 1-for-3 with a .666 OPS. Nick Fortes is hitless at 0-for-2 with a .000 OPS, Taylor Walls is hitless at 0-for-2 in 4 PA with a .500 OPS, and Victor Mesa Jr. has no MLB history vs that pitcher.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. brings the most extensive track record against Nick Martinez, going 2-for-8 in 9 PA with a .958 OPS. George Springer is 1-for-2 with a 1.000 OPS, Kazuma Okamoto is 1-for-2 in 3 PA with a 1.167 OPS, Ernie Clement is 1-for-4 in 5 PA with a 1.250 OPS, and Andrés Giménez is 1-for-1 with a 2.000 OPS. Daulton Varsho is hitless at 0-for-5 with a .000 OPS, while Alejandro Kirk and Myles Straw are each hitless in 0-for-1 showings with .000 OPS marks. Nathan Lukes has no MLB history vs that pitcher.

Tampa Bay appears to have slightly more lineup-wide familiarity with the opposing starter, with several hitters carrying multiple prior plate appearances against Cease. Toronto has some productive individual histories against Martinez, but fewer batters with meaningful exposure overall.

Head to head (2025–2026)
76
Tampa Bay Rays lead series
13 meetings total
2025-09-28
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
413
TOR
2025-09-27
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
15
TOR
2025-09-26
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
24
TOR
2025-09-18
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
04
TB
2025-09-17
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
12
TB
Team picture · 2026
46
LLLLLWWLWW
46
LWLLLWWWLL
TB
TOR
Team AVG
0.257
0.242
Team OPS
0.731
0.687
Home runs
98
101
Runs scored
435
397
Team ERA
3.91
4.14
HR allowed
127
108

Explore more MLB matchups

Related game previews for these clubs and around the league.