Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (2026-07-21). Drew Rasmussen vs Kevin Gausman at Rogers Centre.

Starters — Rasmussen has a 3.26 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 99.1 innings with 8.88 K/9, 1.54 BB/9, and 1.09 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 2.1 IP and 6 ER on July 9, 5 IP and 5 ER on July 4, and 6 IP with 0 ER on June 28. The recent trend is up, and bettors should weigh his strong season-long command against the damage in two of his last three outings. Gausman carries a 4.33 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 112.1 innings with 9.29 K/9, 2.56 BB/9, and 1.20 HR/9. His last three starts were 6 IP and 3 ER on July 12, 5.1 IP and 4 ER on July 6, and 6 IP and 1 ER on June 30. The trend is down, but the strikeout rate remains a clear strength and he has still worked at least 5.1 innings in each of those three appearances.

Teams — Tampa Bay brings the stronger offensive profile with a .734 OPS, 442 runs, and a .258 average. The Rays also have the better run prevention baseline with a 3.88 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP, although they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games. Toronto has a .684 OPS, 398 runs, and a .242 average, so the lineup has been less productive overall. On the pitching side, the Blue Jays sit at a 4.15 team ERA and 1.30 WHIP, and they are also 4-6 over their last 10. From a betting perspective, Tampa Bay shows the cleaner full-season team profile, while Toronto leans more heavily on Gausman’s ability to miss bats and stabilize the matchup at home.