Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (2026-07-22). Griffin Jax vs Braydon Fisher at Rogers Centre.
Starters — Jax has a 4.08 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across 75 innings, with 9.24 K/9, 3.12 BB/9, and 1.56 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 5.0 IP, 7 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 K, 3 BB; and 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 10 K, 2 BB. The strikeout ability is intact, but the recent trend is up, driven by damage on contact and the elevated home run rate. Fisher carries a 3.65 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 49.1 innings, with 9.12 K/9, 4.01 BB/9, and 1.09 HR/9. His last three appearances were 1.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 K, 0 BB; 0.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 0 BB; and 0.2 IP, 1 ER, 0 K, 0 BB. The broader season line is solid, but the recent trend is down and the workload pattern in those last three outings is worth noting.
Teams — Tampa Bay has the stronger offensive profile with a .739 OPS, .261 average, and 454 runs scored. The Rays also bring the better run prevention numbers, posting a 3.86 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP, although they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games. Toronto has a .683 OPS, .242 average, and 400 runs, so the lineup has been less productive overall. On the pitching side, the Blue Jays own a 4.21 team ERA and 1.32 WHIP, and they are also 4-6 in their last 10. From a betting perspective, Tampa Bay has the cleaner full-season team profile, while Toronto leans more on whether Fisher’s season-long efficiency outweighs the recent dip.
