New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
⚡ Alternating good/bad starts
↑ ERA trending up lately
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers (2026-07-20). Freddy Peralta vs Jacob Misiorowski at American Family Field.
Starters — Peralta has a 4.66 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over 104.1 innings, with 8.97 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, and 1.29 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 5 BB; 4.2 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; and 4.0 IP, 5 ER, 4 K, 3 BB. The recent trend is down, and the walk rate has been a pressure point. Misiorowski has been dominant with a 1.62 ERA and 0.76 WHIP across 111 innings, plus 13.54 K/9, 2.19 BB/9, and 0.73 HR/9. His last three starts were strong: 7.0 IP, 3 ER, 11 K, 0 BB; 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 10 K, 0 BB; and 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 4 BB. The trend is up, driven by elite swing-and-miss stuff and limited hard damage.
Teams — New York enters with a .686 OPS and 409 runs scored, alongside a .234 team average. The pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, and the Mets are 5-5 over their last 10 games. Milwaukee has been stronger on both sides, posting a .733 OPS, 502 runs, and a .253 team average. The Brewers’ staff owns a 3.45 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, and they are 6-4 in their last 10. From a betting perspective, Milwaukee brings the more productive offense and the cleaner overall run-prevention profile, while New York may need efficiency from the lineup early if Peralta’s command remains inconsistent.
Juan Soto has seen Jacob Misiorowski before and is 0-for-1 in 2 PA with a .500 OPS, while Francisco Lindor is 1-for-2 with a 2.500 OPS. Jorge Polanco is 0-for-1 in 2 PA with a .500 OPS, and Brett Baty is also 0-for-1 in 2 PA with a .500 OPS. A.J. Ewing, Bo Bichette, Jared Young, Luis Robert Jr., and Francisco Alvarez have no MLB history vs Misiorowski, so most of this group is still largely unfamiliar with him.
William Contreras has a small but positive history against Freddy Peralta at 1-for-2 with a 1.000 OPS, and Andrew Vaughn has the most extensive track record here at 4-for-8 with a 1.125 OPS. Christian Yelich, Jackson Chourio, Brice Turang, Garrett Mitchell, Jake Bauers, Cooper Pratt, and Joey Ortiz have no MLB history vs Peralta. That leaves Milwaukee with only two hitters carrying any prior matchup data into this one.
Milwaukee has the more meaningful familiarity because Vaughn and Contreras have combined for 10 at-bats against Peralta, while the opposing side has only a handful of brief looks at Misiorowski. The away lineup has more individual hitters with prior exposure, but almost all of it is very limited.
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