Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
↓ ERA trending down lately
Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners (2026-07-20). Andrew Abbott vs George Kirby at T-Mobile Park.
Starters — Andrew Abbott has a 4.11 ERA and 1.42 WHIP across 105 innings, with 7.2 K/9, 4.11 BB/9, and 1.37 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 4 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 3 BB; 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 K, 0 BB; and 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 5 BB. The trend is up, but the walk rate and home run rate remain pressure points. George Kirby carries a 3.76 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 110 innings, with 8.02 K/9, 1.96 BB/9, and 0.90 HR/9. His last three starts were strong and steady: 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 0 BB; 8 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 1 BB; and 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 2 BB. The trend is down, reflecting recent run prevention and elite control.
Teams — Cincinnati owns a .712 OPS and 414 runs scored, both better than Seattle’s .686 OPS and 402 runs. The Reds are hitting .231 as a team and are 5-5 over their last 10 games. On the pitching side, Cincinnati has a 4.57 team ERA and 1.43 WHIP, which suggests less margin for error if Abbott does not work deep. Seattle is batting .228 as a team and is 4-6 in its last 10, so the lineup has been less productive overall. The Mariners’ edge is on the mound, where their 3.61 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP point to more consistent staff performance and cleaner traffic management.
Cincinnati has one standout history against George Kirby: JJ Bleday is 5-for-9 with a 1.556 OPS. Ke'Bryan Hayes has also connected, going 1-for-3 with a 1.666 OPS. Elly De La Cruz is hitless in 2 at-bats against Kirby, per his 0-for-2 summary, with a .000 OPS, and Spencer Steer, Eugenio Suárez, and Tyler Stephenson are also hitless against him, with summaries of 0-for-3, 0-for-3, and 0-for-2, respectively, all carrying a .000 OPS. Sal Stewart, Dane Myers, and Edwin Arroyo have no MLB history vs Kirby.
Seattle has less overall history against Andrew Abbott, but the few prior matchups have been productive. Cal Raleigh is 1-for-2 in 3 PA with a 2.667 OPS, while Julio Rodríguez is 1-for-3 with a 1.000 OPS and Josh Naylor is 1-for-2 with a 1.000 OPS. J.P. Crawford, Dominic Canzone, Randy Arozarena, Cole Young, Victor Robles, and Buddy Kennedy have no MLB history vs Abbott.
The Reds have more hitters with prior exposure to the opposing starter, but much of that history is unproductive outside of Bleday and Hayes. The Mariners have fewer familiar bats, though the limited track record against Abbott is stronger.
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