INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East

Baltimore Orioles 5, Boston Red Sox 6

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Fenway ParkGame-day snapshot Jul 20, 4:11 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 19, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score51
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 51
5
5–6
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
87–75 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 56
6
T-Score56
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxBoston has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Tolle leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handSoxBoston has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupOriolesBaltimore's official lineup includes 7 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenSoxBoston has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formSoxBoston has won 10 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Starting pitchers

BAL
Shane Baz RHP
Shane Baz
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.19
111th
WHIP
1.39
135th
K/9
7.98
133rd
BB/9
3.39
115th
P-Score54i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.73
27th
OPS/R
–
IP
111.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.55
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
8
BOS
Payton Tolle LHP
Payton Tolle
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.11
30th
WHIP
1.07
28th
K/9
9.32
27th
BB/9
2.68
46th
P-Score72i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.86
51st
OPS/R
–
IP
84.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.00
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
8
How the starters differ
·Tolle allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.07 WHIP compared with 1.39.
·Tolle owns a 9.3 K/9 compared with Baz's 8.0.
·Tolle enters with a 3.11 ERA compared with Baz's 4.19.
·Baz has a 0% blow-up rate compared with Tolle's 20%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Tolle arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam45%96.1
Sinker24%94.8
Cutter19%88.6
Curveball9%82.9
Changeup3%88.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Orioles vs LHP (Payton Tolle)
17th
in MLB
0.701OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Sox vs RHP (Shane Baz)
22nd
in MLB
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs LHP Payton Tolle
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Tolle (BvP)
1Taylor WardRDH54.6707.712No MLB historyNo history
2Pete AlonsoR1B82.88543.795No MLB historyNo history
3Gunnar HendersonLSS63.71224.721No MLB historyNo history
4Tyler O'NeillRRF47.67710.775No MLB historyNo history
5Coby MayoR3B65.758241.124No MLB historyNo history
6Leody TaverasSCF42.6338.506No MLB historyNo history
7Jeremiah JacksonR2B41.61210.570No MLB historyNo history
8Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B62.838111.066No MLB historyNo history
9Sam HuffRC—.3290.417No MLB historyNo history
1Taylor Ward DH · R.225 / .670 · 7 HRvs hand .712 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.267 / .885 · 43 HRvs hand .795 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.225 / .712 · 24 HRvs hand .721 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score4Tyler O'Neill RF · R.212 / .677 · 10 HRvs hand .775 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score5Coby Mayo 3B · R.228 / .758 · 24 HRvs hand 1.124 · No MLB history · No history65H-Score6Leody Taveras CF · S.219 / .633 · 8 HRvs hand .506 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score7Jeremiah Jackson 2B · R.217 / .612 · 10 HRvs hand .570 · No MLB history · No history41H-Score8Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.277 / .838 · 11 HRvs hand 1.066 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score9Sam Huff C · R.121 / .329 · 0 HRvs hand .417 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Boston Red SoxOfficial lineupvs RHP Shane Baz
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Baz (BvP)
1Anthony SeiglerS2B47.7273.784No MLB historyNo history
2Ceddanne RafaelaRCF57.76516.743No MLB historyNo history
3Wilyer AbreuLRF73.77324.735No MLB historyNo history
4Willson ContrerasR1B76.90227.878No MLB historyNo history
5Masataka YoshidaLDH47.7465.743No MLB historyNo history
6Caleb DurbinR3B51.71013.716No MLB historyNo history
7Jarren DuranLLF49.62720.633No MLB historyNo history
8Connor WongRC38.6564.631No MLB historyNo history
9Tsung-Che ChengLSS—.6000.627No MLB historyNo history
1Anthony Seigler 2B · S.247 / .727 · 3 HRvs hand .784 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score2Ceddanne Rafaela CF · R.285 / .765 · 16 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score3Wilyer Abreu RF · L.248 / .773 · 24 HRvs hand .735 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score4Willson Contreras 1B · R.275 / .902 · 27 HRvs hand .878 · No MLB history · No history76H-Score5Masataka Yoshida DH · L.274 / .746 · 5 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score6Caleb Durbin 3B · R.248 / .710 · 13 HRvs hand .716 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score7Jarren Duran LF · L.207 / .627 · 20 HRvs hand .633 · No MLB history · No history49H-Score8Connor Wong C · R.233 / .656 · 4 HRvs hand .631 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score9Tsung-Che Cheng SS · L.256 / .600 · 0 HRvs hand .627 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBALBAL·BOSBOS
AVG.234 27th.245 13th
OPS.710 21st.717 19th
Home runs199 10th163 26th
Runs718 17th689 23rd
OBP.314 20th.319 12th
SLG.396 21st.398 20th
PitchingBALBAL·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.07vs3.54
BALBOS
WHIP1.34vs1.23
BALBOS
K/98.2vs8.7
BALBOS
HR Allowed169vs153
BALBOS
BullpenBALBAL·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.98vs3.46
no league rank
Saves46vs46
BALBOS
ResultsBALBAL·BOSBOS
+37210th
Run differential
+35813th
79–82 Record87–75
7–3 Last 1010–0
Last 10 games
Baltimore Orioles (7–3)
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
Boston Red Sox (10–0)
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
5—8
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Shane Baz (4.19 ERA, 4–9) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Payton Tolle (3.11 ERA, 5–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Orioles and Sox performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Sox 8–5 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Shane Baz is at 54; Payton Tolle is at 72. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.