Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handNationalsWashington has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
WeatherLow impact72°F, wind 6 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·The WHIP gap favors Wheeler, 1.07 to 1.17.
·Cavalli allows the lower home-run rate: 0.98 vs 1.26 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Wheeler | Cavalli | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 75 | 73 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.65 | 3.33 | |
| WAR | 2.9 | 3.6 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Wheeler arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 36% | 95.2 |
| Sinker | 16% | 94.8 |
| Splitter | 15% | 87.4 |
| Sweeper | 14% | 81.3 |
| Cutter | 10% | 90.8 |
| Curveball | 8% | 79.9 |
Cavalli arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 33% | 96.8 |
| Knuckle Curve | 27% | 86.2 |
| Sweeper | 14% | 86.3 |
| Sinker | 13% | 96.1 |
| Changeup | 8% | 89.1 |
| Cutter | 6% | 93.5 |
| Slow Curve | 0% | 77.6 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
PHI·
WSH+24711th
Run differential
+2717th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Zack Wheeler is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Cade Cavalli is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Nationals Park, home of the Washington Nationals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Zack Wheeler is at 69; Cade Cavalli is at 70. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.