Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRoyalsKansas has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Lynch leads in P-Score, WHIP and FIP.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Team strengthAstrosHouston leads 49–39 in T-Score.
WeatherLow impact81°F, wind 5 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Javier strikes out 2.7 more batters per nine innings.
·Lynch allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.10 WHIP compared with 1.46.
·Lynch enters with a 3.52 ERA compared with Javier's 5.50.
·Lynch allows the lower home-run rate: 0.75 vs 1.46 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | IV | Javier | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 83 | 145 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.86 | 4.89 | |
| WAR | 0.8 | 0.1 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
IV arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 32% | 94.1 |
| Changeup | 24% | 85.6 |
| Slider | 20% | 87.3 |
| Four-seam | 15% | 94.6 |
| Knuckle Curve | 9% | 81.7 |
Javier arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 47% | 93.2 |
| Sweeper | 26% | 81.3 |
| Changeup | 16% | 85.6 |
| Cutter | 7% | 89.1 |
| Knuckle Curve | 2% | 77.6 |
| Sinker | 1% | 93.1 |
| Slider | 1% | 84.7 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.725OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
KC·
HOU+11627th
Run differential
+21017th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Daniel Lynch IV is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Cristian Javier is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:10 PM ET at Daikin Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Daikin Park, home of the Houston Astros.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Daniel Lynch IV is at 43; Cristian Javier is at 37. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.