Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherYankeesNew has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Rodón leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handYankeesNew owns a .714 OPS vs RHP, 18th in MLB; Minnesota ranks 26th vs LHP.
Team strengthYankeesNew leads 72–45 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherLow impact71°F, wind 9 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Rodón strikes out 2.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Rodón enters with a 2.94 ERA compared with Matthews's 4.98.
·Rodón allows the lower home-run rate: 0.77 vs 1.73 per nine.
·Matthews walks 1.7 fewer batters per nine innings.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Rodón | Matthews | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 74 | 113 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.82 | 4.83 | |
| WAR | 1.1 | 0.5 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Rodón arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 46% | 94.4 |
| Slider | 25% | 86.2 |
| Changeup | 15% | 85.4 |
| Sinker | 13% | 93.4 |
| Curveball | 1% | 79.4 |
Matthews arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 36% | 95.2 |
| Slider | 22% | 87.2 |
| Changeup | 13% | 86.8 |
| Cutter | 12% | 90.8 |
| Curveball | 12% | 79.9 |
| Sinker | 5% | 95.1 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.714OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.678OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
NYY·
MIN+2994th
Run differential
+15822nd
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Yankees?+
Carlos Rodón is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Twins?+
Zebby Matthews is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at Target Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Target Field, home of the Minnesota Twins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Carlos Rodón is at 57; Zebby Matthews is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.