Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersHenderson owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee owns a .764 OPS vs RHP, 1th in MLB; Pittsburgh ranks 6th vs RHP.
Team strengthBrewersMilwaukee leads 78–54 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherModerate impactA 3 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Henderson allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.78 WHIP compared with 1.17.
·Henderson enters with a 2.34 ERA compared with Jones's 4.10.
·Henderson carries a 2.84 road ERA, compared with Jones's 4.60 mark at home.
·Henderson holds a 18-point P-Score advantage, 73 to 55.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Henderson | Jones | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 56 | 103 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.17 | 3.89 | |
| WAR | 2.3 | 1.4 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Henderson arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 46% | 93.1 |
| Changeup | 35% | 82.9 |
| Cutter | 16% | 87.8 |
| Sweeper | 3% | 81.1 |
Jones arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 46% | 98.3 |
| Slider | 35% | 89.7 |
| Changeup | 12% | 93.0 |
| Curveball | 8% | 85.7 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.764OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
MIL·
PIT+3521st
Run differential
+23712th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Logan Henderson is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Jared Jones is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at PNC Park.
Where is the game being played?+
PNC Park, home of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Logan Henderson is at 73; Jared Jones is at 55. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.