INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
FinalFinal lineupsAL East

Boston Red Sox 3, Baltimore Orioles 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden YardsStats updated Sep 6, 4:30 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Sep 6, 12:31 PM ET
T-Score78
79–65 · 3rd AL East
Boston Red Sox
3–1
FINAL · 9 innings
Baltimore Orioles
69–75 · 5th AL East
T-Score51
BOSBoston Red Sox79–65 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 783
BALBaltimore Orioles69–75 · 5th AL East · T-Score 511
FINAL · 9 inningsBOS −135 · BAL +115 · Total 8
BOS −135 · BAL +115 · Total 8Last update Sep 6, 12:31 PM ET
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Payton TolleBOS
StarterWin
6.04101291
Aroldis ChapmanBOS
ReliefSave
1.0100219
Kyle BradishBAL
StarterLoss
4.0204385
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
BOSBoston Red Sox030000000340
BALBaltimore Orioles100000000151
Top hitters
Eli White2-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI
Christian Encarnacion-Strand1-for-4 · 1 RBI
Pete Alonso2-for-4
Coby Mayo1-for-4 · 1 R
Adley Rutschman1-for-4

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxTolle leads Bradish in P-Score (78 vs 56), WHIP and K/9.
LineupOriolesBaltimore's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenSoxBoston has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formSoxBoston has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthSoxBoston leads 78–51 in T-Score, driven by recent team form.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

BOS
Payton Tolle LHP
Payton Tolle
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.15
36th
WHIP
1.08
25th
K/9
10.45
25th
BB/9
2.43
46th
P-Score78i
FIP
3.10
HR/9
0.99
78th
OPS/R
0.628
IP
137.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.88
Road ERA2.50
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.00
JaysDiamMarlMariOrio
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
BAL
Kyle Bradish RHP
Kyle Bradish
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.91
95th
WHIP
1.42
161st
K/9
8.29
101st
BB/9
4.03
174th
P-Score56i
FIP
4.20
HR/9
1.07
95th
OPS/R
0.711
IP
152.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.26
Road ERA4.45
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.04
RaysYankCardRockSox
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
How the starters differ
·Tolle allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.08 WHIP compared with 1.42.
·Tolle strikes out 2.2 more batters per nine innings.
·Tolle owns the lower FIP, 3.10 to 4.20.
·Tolle has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 20%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricTolleBradishNote
ERA−7496Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.104.20
WAR3.71.7Season value.
Career vs opponent2.55 ERA, 3 GS2.40 ERA, 3 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Tolle arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam45%96.1
Sinker23%95.0
Cutter19%88.6
Curveball9%83.0
Changeup3%88.6
Bradish arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker36%94.7
Slider24%87.4
Curveball22%84.8
Four-seam17%94.2
Changeup1%90.4

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Sox vs RHP (Kyle Bradish)
17th
in MLB
0.714OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Orioles vs LHP (Payton Tolle)
13th
in MLB
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Boston Red SoxOfficial lineupvs RHP Kyle Bradish
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Bradish (BvP)
1Roman AnthonyLLF66.7373.7851-for-5Very small sample
2Mickey GasperSDH70.8878.974No MLB historyNo history
3Adley RutschmanSC69.73211.7761-for-2Very small sample
4Trevor StoryRSS33.6083.6160-for-7Very small sample
5Nick SogardS2B58.7644.6990-for-1Very small sample
6Caleb DurbinR3B56.70512.7131-for-2Very small sample
7Jarren DuranLLF54.61419.6100-for-3Very small sample
8Andruw MonasterioRSS53.6966.6201-for-2Very small sample
9Eli WhiteRRF43.6956.6841-for-2Very small sample
1Roman Anthony LF · L.243 / .737 · 3 HRvs hand .785 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample66H-Score2Mickey Gasper DH · S.276 / .887 · 8 HRvs hand .974 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score3Adley Rutschman C · S.237 / .732 · 11 HRvs hand .776 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample69H-Score4Trevor Story SS · R.237 / .608 · 3 HRvs hand .616 · 0-for-7 · Very small sample33H-Score5Nick Sogard 2B · S.261 / .764 · 4 HRvs hand .699 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample58H-Score6Caleb Durbin 3B · R.247 / .705 · 12 HRvs hand .713 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample56H-Score7Jarren Duran LF · L.202 / .614 · 19 HRvs hand .610 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample54H-Score8Andruw Monasterio SS · R.244 / .696 · 6 HRvs hand .620 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample53H-Score9Eli White RF · R.246 / .695 · 6 HRvs hand .684 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample43H-Score
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs LHP Payton Tolle
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Tolle (BvP)
1Blaze AlexanderR3B64.7734.651No MLB historyNo history
2Pete AlonsoR1B88.85333.7791-for-3Very small sample
3Coby MayoR3B67.731191.1151-for-3Very small sample
4Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B67.80981.0832-for-3Very small sample
5Gunnar HendersonLSS68.70322.7321-for-3Very small sample
6Rece HindsRRF—.4080.2000-for-1Very small sample
7Dylan BeaversLLF54.7046.581No MLB historyNo history
8Carlos NarváezRC31.4713.4400-for-1Very small sample
9Colton CowserLCF55.67413.4540-for-1Very small sample
1Blaze Alexander 3B · R.306 / .773 · 4 HRvs hand .651 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.267 / .853 · 33 HRvs hand .779 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample88H-Score3Coby Mayo 3B · R.222 / .731 · 19 HRvs hand 1.115 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample67H-Score4Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.268 / .809 · 8 HRvs hand 1.083 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample67H-Score5Gunnar Henderson SS · L.220 / .703 · 22 HRvs hand .732 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score6Rece Hinds RF · R.132 / .408 · 0 HRvs hand .200 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample—H-Score7Dylan Beavers LF · L.244 / .704 · 6 HRvs hand .581 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score8Carlos Narváez C · R.160 / .471 · 3 HRvs hand .440 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample31H-Score9Colton Cowser CF · L.215 / .674 · 13 HRvs hand .454 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample55H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBOSBOS·BALBAL
AVG.248 8th.234 27th
OPS.727 8th.708 23rd
Home runs149 23rd172 11th
Runs642 14th641 16th
OBP.322 9th.315 16th
SLG.405 11th.393 23rd
PitchingBOSBOS·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.60vs4.13
BOSBAL
WHIP1.23vs1.34
BOSBAL
K/98.7vs8.2
BOSBAL
HR Allowed141vs153
BOSBAL
BullpenBOSBOS·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.52vs4.16
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.24vs1.33
no league rank
Saves40vs39
BOSBAL
ResultsBOSBOS·BALBAL
+2506th
Run differential
+19214th
79–65 Record69–75
5–5 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Boston Red Sox (5–5)
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
Baltimore Orioles (4–6)
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
8—5
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Sox?+
Payton Tolle (3.15 ERA, 8–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Kyle Bradish (3.91 ERA, 7–12) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Where is the game being played?+
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home of the Baltimore Orioles.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
BOS −135 · BAL +115 · Total 8. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8. Lines are informational.
How have the Sox and Orioles performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Orioles 5–8 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Payton Tolle is at 78; Kyle Bradish is at 56. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.