INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL East

Chicago Cubs 3, Miami Marlins 10

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:40 PM ET · loanDepot parkStats updated Sep 6, 4:43 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Sep 6, 12:31 PM ET
T-Score67
81–63 · 2nd NL Central
Chicago Cubs
3–10
FINAL · 9 innings
Miami Marlins
72–72 · 3rd NL East
T-Score59
CHCChicago Cubs81–63 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 673
MIAMiami Marlins72–72 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 5910
FINAL · 9 inningsCHC −149 · MIA +125 · Total 8
CHC −149 · MIA +125 · Total 8Last update Sep 6, 12:31 PM ET
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Clay HolmesCHC
StarterLoss
4.1683280
Tyler PhillipsMIA
StarterWin
5.0531376
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CHCChicago Cubs001110000370
MIAMiami Marlins02015020010110
Top hitters
Heriberto Hernández2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Javier Sanoja2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Pete Crow-Armstrong1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Owen Caissie1-for-5 · 2 RBI · 1 R
Joe Mack1-for-4 · 2 RBI

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsChicago has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Holmes leads in P-Score, WHIP and FIP.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .757 OPS vs RHP, 3th in MLB; Miami ranks 9th vs RHP.
LineupCubsChicago's official lineup includes 3 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenMarlinsMiami owns a 3.85 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Chicago's 4.42.
Recent formCubsChicago has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CHC
Clay Holmes RHP
Clay Holmes
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.83
22nd
WHIP
1.12
40th
K/9
6.80
177th
BB/9
3.14
111th
P-Score72i
FIP
3.46
HR/9
0.52
9th
OPS/R
0.566
IP
86.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA1.77
Road ERA3.77
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.76
CardSoxDiamBrewMarl
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
MIA
Tyler Phillips RHP
Tyler Phillips
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.51
58th
WHIP
1.33
123rd
K/9
7.26
154th
BB/9
3.75
156th
P-Score51i
FIP
4.50
HR/9
1.17
108th
OPS/R
0.648
IP
115.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.36
Road ERA5.21
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.68
PiraPhilSoxRoyaCubs
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
How the starters differ
·Holmes allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.12 WHIP compared with 1.33.
·Holmes allows the lower home-run rate: 0.52 vs 1.17 per nine.
·Holmes owns the lower FIP, 3.46 to 4.50.
·Holmes has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 0%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricHolmesPhillipsNote
ERA−6983Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.464.50
WAR1.70.6Season value.
Career vs opponent16.62 ERA, 1 GS5.40 ERA, 1 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Holmes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker50%93.1
Sweeper17%81.5
Changeup14%88.1
Cutter10%86.3
Curveball7%81.2
Four-seam1%92.9
Phillips arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker26%95.5
Sweeper25%84.2
Splitter24%87.0
Curveball17%83.5
Four-seam8%96.1
Slider1%87.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs RHP (Tyler Phillips)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Marlins vs RHP (Clay Holmes)
9th
in MLB
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Tyler Phillips
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Phillips (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF88.94640.9460-for-1Very small sample
2Seiya SuzukiRRF80.85024.7991-for-1Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B69.73518.7361-for-1Very small sample
4Alex BregmanR3B77.79024.7660-for-1Very small sample
5Michael ConfortoLDH71.82214.7901-for-2Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B52.6818.6720-for-1Very small sample
7Pedro RamírezS2B62.7284.6890-for-1Very small sample
8Carson KellyRC64.72510.6291-for-1Very small sample
9Tyrone TaylorRLF67.85111.7571-for-1Very small sample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .946 · 40 HRvs hand .946 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample88H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.271 / .850 · 24 HRvs hand .799 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample80H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.236 / .735 · 18 HRvs hand .736 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample69H-Score4Alex Bregman 3B · R.259 / .790 · 24 HRvs hand .766 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample77H-Score5Michael Conforto DH · L.241 / .822 · 14 HRvs hand .790 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample71H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.267 / .681 · 8 HRvs hand .672 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample52H-Score7Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.263 / .728 · 4 HRvs hand .689 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample62H-Score8Carson Kelly C · R.260 / .725 · 10 HRvs hand .629 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample64H-Score9Tyrone Taylor LF · R.284 / .851 · 11 HRvs hand .757 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample67H-Score
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Clay Holmes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Holmes (BvP)
1Kyle StowersL1B75.81219.868No MLB historyNo history
2Griffin ConineLRF72.85215.9343-for-6Very small sample
3Owen CaissieLRF59.69213.707No MLB historyNo history
4Jakob MarseeLCF52.6639.6751-for-6Very small sample
5Heriberto HernándezRLF76.78624.7370-for-2Very small sample
6Joe MackLC54.68012.7230-for-2Very small sample
7Otto LopezRSS70.77810.7603-for-10Small sample
8Graham PauleyL3B29.5732.5910-for-5Very small sample
9Javier SanojaR3B58.7648.7231-for-4Very small sample
1Kyle Stowers 1B · L.248 / .812 · 19 HRvs hand .868 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score2Griffin Conine RF · L.256 / .852 · 15 HRvs hand .934 · 3-for-6 · Very small sample72H-Score3Owen Caissie RF · L.220 / .692 · 13 HRvs hand .707 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score4Jakob Marsee CF · L.211 / .663 · 9 HRvs hand .675 · 1-for-6 · Very small sample52H-Score5Heriberto Hernández LF · R.230 / .786 · 24 HRvs hand .737 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample76H-Score6Joe Mack C · L.231 / .680 · 12 HRvs hand .723 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample54H-Score7Otto Lopez SS · R.302 / .778 · 10 HRvs hand .760 · 3-for-10 · Small sample70H-Score8Graham Pauley 3B · L.192 / .573 · 2 HRvs hand .591 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample29H-Score9Javier Sanoja 3B · R.289 / .764 · 8 HRvs hand .723 · 1-for-4 · Very small sample58H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·MIAMIA
AVG.252 5th.247 12th
OPS.771 1st.725 12th
Home runs201 1st148 25th
Runs768 1st631 18th
OBP.340 1st.326 6th
SLG.431 1st.399 19th
PitchingCHCCHC·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.21vs3.98
CHCMIA
WHIP1.26vs1.26
CHCMIA
K/97.8vs8.3
CHCMIA
HR Allowed217vs144
CHCMIA
BullpenCHCCHC·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.42vs3.85
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.33vs1.24
no league rank
Saves32vs31
CHCMIA
ResultsCHCCHC·MIAMIA
+2972nd
Run differential
+19213th
81–63 Record72–72
5–5 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (5–5)
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
Miami Marlins (4–6)
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Clay Holmes (2.83 ERA, 6–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Tyler Phillips (3.51 ERA, 4–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
CHC −149 · MIA +125 · Total 8. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8. Lines are informational.
How have the Cubs and Marlins performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Marlins 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Clay Holmes is at 72; Tyler Phillips is at 51. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.
Cubs 3, Marlins 10: Final Score, Stats & Recap — Sep 6, 2026 | PitcherStat