INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
MON · SEP 7, 2026
SEP 7
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / AL Central

Toronto Blue Jays 1, Kansas City Royals 6

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:10 PM ET · Kauffman StadiumStats updated Sep 6, 5:03 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Sep 6, 2:00 PM ET
T-Score43
72–72 · 4th AL East
Toronto Blue Jays
1–6
FINAL · 9 innings
Kansas City Royals
64–80 · 5th AL Central
T-Score34
TORToronto Blue Jays72–72 · 4th AL East · T-Score 431
KCKansas City Royals64–80 · 5th AL Central · T-Score 346
FINAL · 9 inningsTOR −120 · KC +100 · Total 10
TOR −120 · KC +100 · Total 10Last update Sep 6, 2:00 PM ET
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Spencer ArrighettiTOR
StarterLoss
4.2663391
Randy DobnakKC
StarterWin
6.0410383
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
TORToronto Blue Jays000001000181
KCKansas City Royals302010000670
Top hitters
Vinnie Pasquantino1-for-3 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 2 BB
Salvador Perez1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Josh Smith1-for-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Nick Loftin2-for-4 · 1 RBI
Brett Bateman3-for-3

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRoyalsDobnak leads Arrighetti in P-Score (56 vs 39), FIP and last-5 ERA.
Offense vs handRoyalsKansas owns a .725 OPS vs RHP, 13th in MLB; Toronto ranks 22th vs RHP.
BullpenJaysToronto owns a 4.16 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Kansas's 4.80.
Recent formJaysToronto has been the better recent team, at 7–3 over the last 10.
WeatherModerate impactA 10 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

TOR
Spencer Arrighetti RHP
Spencer Arrighetti
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.12
169th
WHIP
1.37
147th
K/9
8.68
81st
BB/9
5.04
208th
P-Score39i
FIP
5.41
HR/9
1.48
169th
OPS/R
0.639
IP
103.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.38
Road ERA6.48
Last 5 starts
ERA
9.18
SoxYankRoyaGuarRoya
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
KC
Randy Dobnak RHP
Randy Dobnak
Kansas City Royals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.54
11th
WHIP
1.32
116th
K/9
6.08
206th
BB/9
3.25
122nd
P-Score56i
FIP
4.10
HR/9
0.85
47th
OPS/R
0.634
IP
63.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.93
Road ERA0.92
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.25
AngeAthlJaysMarlJays
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
How the starters differ
·Arrighetti strikes out 2.6 more batters per nine innings.
·Dobnak enters with a 2.54 ERA compared with Arrighetti's 5.12.
·Dobnak allows the lower home-run rate: 0.85 vs 1.48 per nine.
·Dobnak walks 1.8 fewer batters per nine innings.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricArrighettiDobnakNote
ERA−12460Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.414.10
WAR-0.10.7Season value.
Career vs opponent7.98 ERA, 3 GS3.00 ERA, 2 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Arrighetti arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Curveball34%76.5
Four-seam29%92.4
Sweeper12%79.7
Sinker10%92.2
Changeup7%84.2
Cutter7%87.8
Slider1%82.2
Dobnak arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker39%91.5
Sweeper25%82.3
Changeup21%84.8
Four-seam9%92.2
Slider6%83.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Jays vs RHP (Randy Dobnak)
22nd
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Royals vs RHP (Spencer Arrighetti)
13th
in MLB
0.725OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Toronto Blue JaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Randy Dobnak
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Dobnak (BvP)
1Brett BatemanLCF42.8180.8161-for-3Very small sample
2Nathan LukesLRF51.70910.7651-for-3Very small sample
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.R1B65.6848.6501-for-3Very small sample
4Myles StrawRCF42.6543.6581-for-1Very small sample
5Kazuma OkamotoR3B72.74528.7140-for-2Very small sample
6Charles McAdooR2B—.6402.547No MLB historyNo history
7Ernie ClementR2B48.6879.7000-for-2Very small sample
8Andrés GiménezLSS42.6408.6500-for-1Very small sample
9Brandon ValenzuelaSC52.6708.6930-for-1Very small sample
1Brett Bateman CF · L.347 / .818 · 0 HRvs hand .816 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample42H-Score2Nathan Lukes RF · L.270 / .709 · 10 HRvs hand .765 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample51H-Score3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R.259 / .684 · 8 HRvs hand .650 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample65H-Score4Myles Straw CF · R.239 / .654 · 3 HRvs hand .658 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample42H-Score5Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R.231 / .745 · 28 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample72H-Score6Charles McAdoo 2B · R.244 / .640 · 2 HRvs hand .547 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Ernie Clement 2B · R.275 / .687 · 9 HRvs hand .700 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample48H-Score8Andrés Giménez SS · L.242 / .640 · 8 HRvs hand .650 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample42H-Score9Brandon Valenzuela C · S.218 / .670 · 8 HRvs hand .693 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample52H-Score
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Arrighetti (BvP)
1John RaveLRF—.7244.7140-for-2Very small sample
2Bobby Witt Jr.RSS82.81717.8170-for-1Very small sample
3Vinnie PasquantinoL1B65.71511.7821-for-1Very small sample
4Salvador PerezRDH55.65419.6141-for-5Very small sample
5Josh RojasL3B—.6212.6050-for-2Very small sample
6Nick LoftinR3B57.7177.6860-for-1Very small sample
7Isaac CollinsSLF55.6656.6950-for-1Very small sample
8Luke MaileRC—.4681.3500-for-1Very small sample
9Kyle IsbelLCF41.6176.6941-for-2Very small sample
1John Rave RF · L.223 / .724 · 4 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample—H-Score2Bobby Witt Jr. SS · R.285 / .817 · 17 HRvs hand .817 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample82H-Score3Vinnie Pasquantino 1B · L.239 / .715 · 11 HRvs hand .782 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample65H-Score4Salvador Perez DH · R.226 / .654 · 19 HRvs hand .614 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample55H-Score5Josh Rojas 3B · L.240 / .621 · 2 HRvs hand .605 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample—H-Score6Nick Loftin 3B · R.241 / .717 · 7 HRvs hand .686 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample57H-Score7Isaac Collins LF · S.223 / .665 · 6 HRvs hand .695 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample55H-Score8Luke Maile C · R.143 / .468 · 1 HRvs hand .350 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample—H-Score9Kyle Isbel CF · L.227 / .617 · 6 HRvs hand .694 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample41H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTORTOR·KCKC
AVG.248 11th.247 14th
OPS.691 27th.719 15th
Home runs135 28th151 22nd
Runs580 28th617 21st
OBP.309 27th.316 15th
SLG.382 27th.403 14th
PitchingTORTOR·KCKC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.92vs4.70
TORKC
WHIP1.30vs1.39
TORKC
K/98.8vs7.4
TORKC
HR Allowed149vs177
TORKC
BullpenTORTOR·KCKC
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.16vs4.80
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.33vs1.40
no league rank
Saves49vs34
TORKC
ResultsTORTOR·KCKC
+13221st
Run differential
+8928th
72–72 Record64–80
7–3 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Toronto Blue Jays (7–3)
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
Kansas City Royals (5–5)
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—4
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Jays?+
Spencer Arrighetti (5.12 ERA, 7–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Randy Dobnak (2.54 ERA, 3–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Kauffman Stadium, home of the Kansas City Royals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
TOR −120 · KC +100 · Total 10. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 10. Lines are informational.
How have the Jays and Royals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Royals 4–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Spencer Arrighetti is at 39; Randy Dobnak is at 56. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.