San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves (2026-07-22). Michael King vs Martín Pérez at Truist Park.
Starters — Michael King enters with a 3.34 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 113.1 innings. His strikeout rate is 7.62 K/9 with 3.57 BB/9 and 0.87 HR/9. Over his last three starts, he has allowed 1, 1, and 2 earned runs across 5, 6, and 6 innings, with 13 strikeouts and 6 walks total. The recent trend is down, which fits the improving run prevention. Martín Pérez carries a 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and 81.1 innings. He has posted 6.86 K/9, 3.54 BB/9, and 1.11 HR/9. In his last three starts, he gave up 4, 4, and 3 earned runs in 4.1, 5, and 4 innings, with just 6 strikeouts against 9 walks. His trend is up, pointing to weaker recent form.
Teams — San Diego has a .688 OPS and 415 runs scored, with a .230 team average. The Padres pitching staff owns a 4.21 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, and they are 5-5 over the last 10 games. Atlanta brings a .732 OPS and 495 runs, backed by a .248 team average. The Braves also hold the stronger run-prevention profile with a 3.64 team ERA and 1.23 WHIP, and they are 6-4 in their last 10. From a betting matchup standpoint, Atlanta shows the better season-long offensive and staff indicators, while San Diego may counter with the steadier current starter form.
