INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL East / NL East

Tampa Bay Rays 3, Philadelphia Phillies 7

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:30 PM ET · Citizens Bank ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 29, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score49
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 49
3
3–7
FINAL · 9 innings
Philadelphia Phillies
88–74 · 2nd NL East · T-Score 39
7
T-Score39
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Nick MartinezTB
StarterLoss
2.2741150
Zack WheelerPHI
StarterWin
6.0510597
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
TBTampa Bay Rays000010200380
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies1300300007120
Top hitters
Jonny DeLuca2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2 RBI
Edmundo Sosa2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Bryce Harper1-for-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Kyle Schwarber2-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
Bryson Stott3-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPhilliesWheeler leads Martinez in P-Score (73 vs 59), K/9 and last-5 ERA.
Offense vs handRaysTampa owns a .752 OPS vs RHP, 4th in MLB; Philadelphia ranks 23th vs RHP.
LineupRaysTampa's official lineup includes 5 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenRaysTampa owns a 4.02 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Philadelphia's 4.56.
Recent formRaysTampa has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

TB
Nick Martinez RHP
Nick Martinez
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.94
32nd
WHIP
1.07
26th
K/9
5.48
221st
BB/9
1.27
1st
P-Score59i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.12
92nd
OPS/R
–
IP
177.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.03
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
PHI
Zack Wheeler RHP
Zack Wheeler
Philadelphia Phillies
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.06
28th
WHIP
1.06
18th
K/9
10.85
19th
BB/9
2.71
62nd
P-Score73i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.15
104th
OPS/R
–
IP
156.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.71
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Wheeler strikes out 5.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Martinez walks 1.4 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Recent form favors Wheeler, who has allowed fewer runs across the last five starts.
·Martinez carries a 2.38 road ERA, compared with Wheeler's 2.90 mark at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Martinez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker32%92.4
Changeup26%78.3
Cutter22%89.2
Four-seam13%92.7
Curveball4%80.0
Slider4%85.2
Wheeler arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam36%95.2
Splitter16%87.4
Sinker15%94.8
Sweeper13%81.3
Cutter11%90.9
Curveball9%80.0

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Rays vs RHP (Zack Wheeler)
4th
in MLB
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Phillies vs RHP (Nick Martinez)
23rd
in MLB
0.707OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 27, 12:30 PM ET
TBTB
.738
+12 ptsOPS edge
PHIPHI
.726

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Zack Wheeler
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Wheeler (BvP)
1Victor Mesa Jr.LRF66.82514.811No MLB historyNo history
2Jonathan ArandaL1B73.79222.8373-for-5Very small sample
3Junior CamineroR3B84.88442.8710-for-3Very small sample
4Liam HicksLC62.80118.9021-for-7Very small sample
5Richie PalaciosL2B50.70410.7480-for-2Very small sample
6Jonny DeLucaRRF48.72911.773No MLB historyNo history
7Cedric MullinsLCF45.62815.6471-for-2Very small sample
8Nick FortesRC41.6806.6840-for-1Very small sample
9Jorge MateoRSS29.5595.691No MLB historyNo history
1Victor Mesa Jr. RF · L.260 / .825 · 14 HRvs hand .811 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score2Jonathan Aranda 1B · L.274 / .792 · 22 HRvs hand .837 · 3-for-5 · Very small sample73H-Score3Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .871 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample84H-Score4Liam Hicks C · L.284 / .801 · 18 HRvs hand .902 · 1-for-7 · Very small sample62H-Score5Richie Palacios 2B · L.235 / .704 · 10 HRvs hand .748 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample50H-Score6Jonny DeLuca RF · R.266 / .729 · 11 HRvs hand .773 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score7Cedric Mullins CF · L.205 / .628 · 15 HRvs hand .647 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample45H-Score8Nick Fortes C · R.258 / .680 · 6 HRvs hand .684 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample41H-Score9Jorge Mateo SS · R.203 / .559 · 5 HRvs hand .691 · No MLB history · No history29H-Score
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Martinez (BvP)
1Trea TurnerRSS52.67519.7094-for-10Small sample
2Kyle SchwarberLDH78.85745.8342-for-5Very small sample
3Bryce HarperL1B75.86529.9970-for-2Very small sample
4Bryson StottL2B62.73510.7353-for-5Very small sample
5Alec BohmR3B62.69815.6440-for-2Very small sample
6Brandon MarshLLF55.71218.7421-for-5Very small sample
7Edmundo SosaRLF49.7129.5640-for-1Very small sample
8Justin CrawfordLCF40.6623.672No MLB historyNo history
9J.T. RealmutoRC47.61411.6311-for-7Very small sample
1Trea Turner SS · R.242 / .675 · 19 HRvs hand .709 · 4-for-10 · Small sample52H-Score2Kyle Schwarber DH · L.232 / .857 · 45 HRvs hand .834 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample78H-Score3Bryce Harper 1B · L.269 / .865 · 29 HRvs hand .997 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample75H-Score4Bryson Stott 2B · L.256 / .735 · 10 HRvs hand .735 · 3-for-5 · Very small sample62H-Score5Alec Bohm 3B · R.249 / .698 · 15 HRvs hand .644 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample62H-Score6Brandon Marsh LF · L.260 / .712 · 18 HRvs hand .742 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample55H-Score7Edmundo Sosa LF · R.247 / .712 · 9 HRvs hand .564 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample49H-Score8Justin Crawford CF · L.264 / .662 · 3 HRvs hand .672 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score9J.T. Realmuto C · R.205 / .614 · 11 HRvs hand .631 · 1-for-7 · Very small sample47H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTBTB·PHIPHI
AVG.258 1st.240 21st
OPS.728 8th.707 22nd
Home runs169 22nd182 17th
Runs736 12th713 19th
OBP.326 5th.312 23rd
SLG.402 12th.395 24th
PitchingTBTB·PHIPHI
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.70vs4.04
TBPHI
WHIP1.14vs1.29
TBPHI
K/98.3vs9.9
TBPHI
HR Allowed201vs191
TBPHI
BullpenTBTB·PHIPHI
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.02vs4.56
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.22vs1.37
no league rank
Saves58vs42
TBPHI
ResultsTBTB·PHIPHI
+38414th
Run differential
+37816th
98–64 Record88–74
6–4 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Rays (6–4)
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
Philadelphia Phillies (4–6)
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—3
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Rays?+
Nick Martinez (2.94 ERA, 15–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Zack Wheeler (3.06 ERA, 13–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:30 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Citizens Bank Park, home of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Rays and Phillies performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Phillies 3–0 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Nick Martinez is at 59; Zack Wheeler is at 73. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.