Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMetsThe starters are close overall, but Manaea owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handNationalsWashington has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
WeatherModerate impactA 11 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Herz owns the lower FIP, 2.10 to 4.44.
·Manaea allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.30 WHIP compared with 1.75.
·Manaea allows the lower home-run rate: 1.43 vs 2.25 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Manaea | Herz | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 114 | – | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.44 | 2.10 | |
| WAR | 1.0 | – | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Manaea arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 39% | 91.3 |
| Sweeper | 31% | 75.8 |
| Sinker | 19% | 90.4 |
| Cutter | 8% | 84.6 |
| Changeup | 4% | 84.1 |
Herz arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 48% | 93.0 |
| Changeup | 32% | 82.8 |
| Slider | 17% | 87.5 |
| Knuckle Curve | 3% | 80.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.684OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.772OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
NYM·
WSH+20721st
Run differential
+3206th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Mets?+
Sean Manaea is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Nationals?+
DJ Herz is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
3:05 PM ET at Nationals Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Nationals Park, home of the Washington Nationals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.