INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL East

Atlanta Braves 3, Miami Marlins 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

3:10 PM ET · loanDepot parkGame-day snapshot Sep 29, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score45
Atlanta Braves
94–68 · 1st NL East · T-Score 45
3
3–5
FINAL · 9 innings
Miami Marlins
80–82 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 42
5
T-Score42
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
JR RitchieATL
StarterLoss
5.2742287
Janson JunkMIA
Starter
4.2311564
Michael PetersenMIA
ReliefWin
1.1001026
Sandy AlcantaraMIA
ReliefSave
1.0000110
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
ATLAtlanta Braves001000200350
MIAMiami Marlins000103100581
Top hitters
Mauricio Dubón2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Heriberto Hernández2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Griffin Conine1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Jared Serna2-for-2 · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Esteury Ruiz1-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMarlinsJunk leads Ritchie in P-Score (47 vs 39), WHIP and last-5 ERA.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .013 difference in OPS.
BullpenBravesAtlanta has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formBravesAtlanta has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerBravesAtlanta has 203 home runs this season, 37 more than Miami.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

ATL
JR Ritchie RHP
JR Ritchie
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.79
158th
WHIP
1.46
182nd
K/9
8.78
100th
BB/9
5.45
214th
P-Score39i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.60
183rd
OPS/R
–
IP
67.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.00
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
MIA
Janson Junk RHP
Janson Junk
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.31
121st
WHIP
1.31
108th
K/9
6.35
191st
BB/9
2.42
44th
P-Score47i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.06
90th
OPS/R
–
IP
119.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.40
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Ritchie strikes out 2.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Junk walks 3.0 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Junk allows the lower home-run rate: 1.06 vs 1.60 per nine.
·Junk owns a 1.40 ERA over his last five starts, compared with 5.00 for Ritchie.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Ritchie arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Curveball27%83.0
Sinker21%94.2
Four-seam19%94.7
Changeup17%88.1
Cutter9%89.2
Slider6%85.0
Junk arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam35%94.1
Slider19%86.3
Changeup18%87.3
Sweeper14%80.1
Curveball9%80.7
Sinker4%93.6
Slurve0%84.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs RHP (Janson Junk)
11th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Marlins vs RHP (JR Ritchie)
7th
in MLB
0.743OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 27, 1:10 PM ET
ATLATL
.689
−15 ptsOPS edge
MIAMIA
.704

Even matchuplimited data

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs RHP Janson Junk
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Junk (BvP)
1Mauricio DubónRLF52.72012.7432-for-4Very small sample
2Ozzie AlbiesS2B50.68522.6570-for-2Very small sample
3Matt OlsonL1B77.82341.8232-for-5Very small sample
4Austin RileyR3B56.65419.6510-for-2Very small sample
5Mike YastrzemskiLLF56.68912.6970-for-5Very small sample
6Sean MurphyRC32.5563.6292-for-4Very small sample
7Ha-Seong KimRSS19.3590.452No MLB historyNo history
8Brewer HicklenRRF—.7680.750No MLB historyNo history
9DaShawn Keirsey Jr.LCF—.4000.400No MLB historyNo history
1Mauricio Dubón LF · R.276 / .720 · 12 HRvs hand .743 · 2-for-4 · Very small sample52H-Score2Ozzie Albies 2B · S.237 / .685 · 22 HRvs hand .657 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample50H-Score3Matt Olson 1B · L.251 / .823 · 41 HRvs hand .823 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample77H-Score4Austin Riley 3B · R.219 / .654 · 19 HRvs hand .651 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample56H-Score5Mike Yastrzemski LF · L.224 / .689 · 12 HRvs hand .697 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample56H-Score6Sean Murphy C · R.182 / .556 · 3 HRvs hand .629 · 2-for-4 · Very small sample32H-Score7Ha-Seong Kim SS · R.116 / .359 · 0 HRvs hand .452 · No MLB history · No history19H-Score8Brewer Hicklen RF · R.256 / .768 · 0 HRvs hand .750 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9DaShawn Keirsey Jr. CF · L.200 / .400 · 0 HRvs hand .400 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP JR Ritchie
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Ritchie (BvP)
1Griffin ConineLRF69.84619.9220-for-1Very small sample
2Javier SanojaR3B58.79111.7530-for-2Very small sample
3Heriberto HernándezRLF65.75525.7330-for-1Very small sample
4Agustín RamírezRDH37.6725.625No MLB historyNo history
5Graham PauleyL3B28.6304.652No MLB historyNo history
6Esteury RuizRRF38.6996.650No MLB historyNo history
7Deyvison De Los SantosR1B—.3530.231No MLB historyNo history
8Jared SernaR2B—.6020.884No MLB historyNo history
9Brian NavarretoRC—.4431.217No MLB historyNo history
1Griffin Conine RF · L.264 / .846 · 19 HRvs hand .922 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample69H-Score2Javier Sanoja 3B · R.295 / .791 · 11 HRvs hand .753 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample58H-Score3Heriberto Hernández LF · R.228 / .755 · 25 HRvs hand .733 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample65H-Score4Agustín Ramírez DH · R.235 / .672 · 5 HRvs hand .625 · No MLB history · No history37H-Score5Graham Pauley 3B · L.211 / .630 · 4 HRvs hand .652 · No MLB history · No history28H-Score6Esteury Ruiz RF · R.216 / .699 · 6 HRvs hand .650 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score7Deyvison De Los Santos 1B · R.143 / .353 · 0 HRvs hand .231 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Jared Serna 2B · R.214 / .602 · 0 HRvs hand .884 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Brian Navarreto C · R.135 / .443 · 1 HRvs hand .217 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·MIAMIA
AVG.246 10th.249 7th
OPS.718 16th.726 10th
Home runs204 8th168 23rd
Runs742 8th715 18th
OBP.309 28th.326 6th
SLG.409 6th.400 18th
PitchingATLATL·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.63vs4.09
ATLMIA
WHIP1.24vs1.28
ATLMIA
K/98.4vs8.3
ATLMIA
HR Allowed185vs171
ATLMIA
BullpenATLATL·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.63vs4.39
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.21vs1.32
no league rank
Saves49vs35
ATLMIA
ResultsATLATL·MIAMIA
+4009th
Run differential
+36217th
94–68 Record80–82
6–4 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (6–4)
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
Miami Marlins (5–5)
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
8—5
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
JR Ritchie (4.79 ERA, 1–4) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Janson Junk (4.31 ERA, 6–9) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
3:10 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Braves and Marlins performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Marlins 5–8 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
JR Ritchie is at 39; Janson Junk is at 47. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.