INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
CANCELLEDProjected — not officialAL East

Baltimore Orioles   vs   New York Yankees Preview

September 27, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form and weather at Yankee Stadium.

1:05 PM ET · Yankee StadiumGame-day snapshot Sep 28, 1:30 AM ETLineups not confirmedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score40
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 40
–
–––
CANCELLED
New York Yankees
93–68 · 2nd AL East · T-Score 54
–
T-Score54
CANCELLED

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherOriolesBaz leads Rodríguez in P-Score (54 vs 33), WHIP and ERA.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .001 difference in OPS.
BullpenYankeesNew has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formOriolesBaltimore has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
WeatherModerate impactA 13 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Starting pitchers

BAL
Shane Baz RHP
Shane Baz
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.11
112th
WHIP
1.35
134th
K/9
7.71
133rd
BB/9
3.16
115th
P-Score54i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.75
27th
OPS/R
–
IP
179.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.45
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
NYY
Elmer Rodríguez RHP
Elmer Rodríguez
New York Yankees
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.40
182nd
WHIP
1.58
210th
K/9
7.09
164th
BB/9
5.40
216th
P-Score33i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.67
18th
OPS/R
–
IP
26.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.70
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
27
How the starters differ
·Baz allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.35 WHIP compared with 1.58.
·Baz enters with a 4.11 ERA compared with Rodríguez's 5.40.
·Baz averages 1.4 more innings per start.
·Baz enters with a 4.30 road ERA; Rodríguez owns a 5.52 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricBazRodríguezNote
Career vs opponent6.48 ERA, 8 GS–Career history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Rodríguez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker46%95.8
Four-seam19%95.4
Curveball14%78.2
Sweeper12%80.4
Changeup8%87.9
Cutter0%84.0

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Orioles vs RHP (Elmer Rodríguez)
18th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Yankees vs RHP (Shane Baz)
19th
in MLB
0.714OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Projected — not officialOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Baltimore OriolesProjected — not officialvs RHP Elmer Rodríguez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Rodríguez (BvP)
1Pete Alonso—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Christian Encarnacion-Strand—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Blaze Alexander—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Coby Mayo—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Gunnar Henderson—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Pete Alonso– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Christian Encarnacion-Strand– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Blaze Alexander– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Coby Mayo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Gunnar Henderson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBALBAL·NYYNYY
AVG.234 27th.235 26th
OPS.710 21st.720 13th
Home runs199 10th223 2nd
Runs718 17th739 10th
OBP.314 20th.311 24th
SLG.396 21st.409 7th
PitchingBALBAL·NYYNYY
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.07vs3.23
BALNYY
WHIP1.34vs1.17
BALNYY
K/98.2vs9.1
BALNYY
HR Allowed169vs165
BALNYY
BullpenBALBAL·NYYNYY
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.89vs3.25
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.27vs1.22
no league rank
Saves46vs45
BALNYY
ResultsBALBAL·NYYNYY
+39710th
Run differential
+4505th
79–82 Record93–68
6–4 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Baltimore Orioles (6–4)
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
New York Yankees (5–5)
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—9
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Shane Baz (4.11 ERA, 6–15) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Yankees?+
Elmer Rodríguez (5.40 ERA, 0–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Yankee Stadium, home of the New York Yankees.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Orioles and Yankees performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Yankees 9–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Shane Baz is at 54; Elmer Rodríguez is at 33. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.