Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
↑ ERA trending up lately
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles (2026-08-02). Zack Wheeler vs Kyle Bradish at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Starters — Wheeler has been elite overall with a 2.53 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 103 innings. His strikeout profile is strong at 10.75 K/9, and he limits free passes at 2.01 BB/9, though the 1.14 HR/9 is one area to watch. His last three starts were mixed: 3.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 K, 1 BB on July 27; 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 9 K, 0 BB on July 21; and 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 10 K, 2 BB on July 12. The trend is listed up, but the most recent outing was clearly a step back. Bradish enters with a 3.74 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 118 innings. He has posted 8.69 K/9, 3.97 BB/9, and 0.92 HR/9, showing decent swing-and-miss ability with shakier command than Wheeler. His last three starts were 4.2 IP, 5 ER, 4 K, 1 BB on July 27; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 1 BB on July 22; and 6.2 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 2 BB on July 11. His trend is also listed up despite the rough latest appearance.
Teams — Philadelphia has a .702 OPS, 482 runs, and a .236 average. The Phillies’ pitching staff owns a 4.24 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but the recent form is poor at 2-8 over the last 10 games. Baltimore has a slightly better offensive profile with a .712 OPS, 507 runs, and the same .236 average. The Orioles’ staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, and they have been steadier lately at 5-5 in their last 10. On the team level, Baltimore brings the stronger run production, while Philadelphia has the better overall WHIP profile and the clear edge in starting-pitcher baseline metrics.
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