Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners (2026-08-02). Taj Bradley vs George Kirby at T-Mobile Park.

Starters — Bradley has a 3.65 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 120.2 innings, with a strong 10.37 K/9, but his 3.65 BB/9 is the main control concern. He has allowed 17 home runs, good for a 1.27 HR/9. In his last three starts, he went 6 innings with 2 earned runs and 10 strikeouts, 7 innings with 1 earned run, and 5 innings with 5 earned runs. The recent form is mixed, though two of the last three were solid, even with a listed down trend. Kirby carries a 3.98 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across 120 innings, with an 8.03 K/9 and elite 1.88 BB/9. He has given up 15 home runs, a 1.13 HR/9. His last three starts were 4 innings and 7 earned runs, then 6 scoreless innings, then 6 innings with 2 earned runs. That profile shows volatility start to start, despite the listed up trend, but the walk suppression remains a steady strength.

Teams — Minnesota brings the stronger offense by the numbers, posting a .725 OPS, 526 runs, and a .244 average. The Twins have also been in better recent form at 7-3 over their last 10 games. The concern for bettors is the full staff performance, as Minnesota owns a 4.60 team ERA and 1.37 WHIP, which can put pressure on late innings. Seattle has a lighter offensive profile with a .687 OPS, 447 runs, and a .229 average, and the Mariners are just 3-7 in their last 10. The counter is run prevention: Seattle’s team ERA is 3.74 with a 1.18 WHIP, clearly better than Minnesota’s staff marks and a meaningful edge if this game turns into a bullpen-driven matchup.