Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Miami Marlins at New York Mets (2026-07-31). Janson Junk vs Freddy Peralta at Citi Field.

Starters — Janson Junk has a 4.89 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 73.2 innings with 6.96 K/9, 2.44 BB/9, and 1.34 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 4.2 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 0 BB; 4.0 IP, 6 ER, 3 K, 3 BB; and 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 4 BB. The recent trend is up, driven by two strong run-prevention outings in his last three. Freddy Peralta carries a 4.99 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, and 113.2 innings with 8.95 K/9, 3.80 BB/9, and 1.35 HR/9. His last three starts were 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 2 BB; 5.1 IP, 7 ER, 6 K, 2 BB; and 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 5 BB. The trend is also up, although the command and contact profile remain volatile.

Teams — Miami has the stronger offensive baseline here with a .733 OPS, .251 average, and 483 runs scored. The Marlins also bring the slightly better pitching staff on the season at 4.08 team ERA and 1.25 WHIP, but they enter on a 3-7 run over the last 10 games. New York has a .687 OPS, .233 average, and 453 runs scored, so the lineup has been less productive overall. The Mets’ staff sits at a 4.11 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, very close to Miami’s numbers, and they are 5-5 over their last 10, which suggests steadier recent form than the visitors.