Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Miami Marlins at New York Mets (2026-08-01). Tyler Phillips vs Zac Thornton at Citi Field.

Starters — Tyler Phillips has a 3.52 ERA and 1.36 WHIP across 84.1 innings, with 6.72 K/9, 4.06 BB/9, and 1.07 HR/9. His last three starts: 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 2 BB; 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 2 K, 1 BB; and 1.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 K, 1 BB. The recent line is mixed, but the listed trend is down, and the walk rate remains a pressure point. Zac Thornton has a 2.43 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 29.2 innings, with 6.67 K/9, 2.12 BB/9, and 0.61 HR/9. His last three starts: 6.1 IP, 3 ER, 5 K, 1 BB; 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB; and 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB. The listed trend is also down, but the underlying profile still shows strong command and limited damage.

Teams — Miami brings the better offensive production on these numbers, posting a .733 OPS and 488 runs, with a .250 team average. The Marlins are 4-6 in their last 10 games. Their pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, which is slightly better than New York’s staff marks. The Mets have a .685 OPS, 455 runs, and a .233 team average, with a 5-5 record over their last 10. New York’s staff owns a 4.11 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. From a matchup angle, Miami shows the stronger season-long offense, while New York appears to have the cleaner starting pitching edge based on Thornton’s run prevention and WHIP.