New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs (2026-07-31). Will Warren vs Shota Imanaga at Wrigley Field.

Starters — Will Warren has a 4.41 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across 102 innings, with 9.0 K/9, 3.18 BB/9, and 1.32 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 3.0 innings and 6 earned runs on July 26, 0.2 innings and 0 earned runs on July 22, and 5.0 innings with 1 earned run on July 12. The recent trend is up, but the latest outing was rough and command remains a key variable. Shota Imanaga carries a 3.72 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 121 innings, with 8.4 K/9, 2.16 BB/9, and 1.64 HR/9. His last three starts were excellent: 6.0 scoreless innings on July 25, 7.0 scoreless innings on July 19, and 5.0 innings with 1 earned run on July 10. The recent trend is down, and his current form stands out because he has allowed just 1 earned run over his last 18 innings.

Teams — New York enters with a .725 OPS and 506 runs scored, backed by a strong 3.31 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP. The Yankees are 6-4 over their last 10 games. Their profile suggests more support from run prevention than pure lineup consistency, with a .233 team average attached to the offense. Chicago brings a .755 OPS and 564 runs scored with a .249 team average, giving the Cubs the stronger offensive production by these numbers. On the pitching side, Chicago has a 4.15 team ERA and 1.26 WHIP, also with a 6-4 record in its last 10 games. That creates a contrast between the Cubs’ better lineup output and the Yankees’ stronger overall staff indicators.