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Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Friday, Jul 31, 2026T-Mobile Park10:10 PM ETPreview
MIN · Away · 55-55

Minnesota Twins

AL Central · 4th · 3.0 GB
:
10:10 PM ET
H2H 34
SEA · Home · 53-57

Seattle Mariners

Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season5.21
Last 56.53
1.32 ERA worse in last 5
7 days restQS 40%Blow-up 1/5
106/29
407/04
407/10
807/19
207/24

↑ ERA trending up lately

Season2.75
Last 54.58
1.83 ERA worse in last 5
7 days restQS 20%Blow-up 0/5
306/25
007/02
407/09
207/17
507/24

⚡ Alternating good/bad starts

Matchup edge
Bryce Miller pitching edge·Twins 64 L10
PitchingSeattle
Twins0Seattle38
HittingTwins
Twins47Seattle23
BullpenSeattle
Twins52Seattle60
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / RHP
Twins vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.9035 hot hittersTop: Buxton 0.952 · Jeffers 0.927 · Jackson 0.927

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Seattle vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.7972 hot hittersTop: Canzone 0.887 · Arozarena 0.850 · Raley 0.793

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Minnesota Twins hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.294
0.927
9
0.271
0.952
25
0.307
0.855
8
0.257
0.855
19
0.364
0.927
1
Seattle Mariners hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.273
0.887
18
0.292
0.850
13
0.276
0.748
13
0.261
0.708
16
0.234
0.793
15
◆ Matchup preview

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners (2026-07-31). Zebby Matthews vs Bryce Miller at T-Mobile Park.

Starters — Zebby Matthews has a 5.21 ERA and 1.32 WHIP across 76 innings, with 6.99 K/9, 2.84 BB/9, and 1.78 HR/9. His last three starts were 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 K, 3 BB; 3 IP, 8 ER, 4 K, 3 BB; and 6 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 2 BB. The recent form is volatile, but the listed trend is up. Bryce Miller has a 2.75 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over 68.2 innings, with 9.31 K/9, 1.44 BB/9, and 1.44 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.1 IP, 5 ER, 0 K, 1 BB; 5.2 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; and 5 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 4 BB. His trend is also marked up, supported by strong season-long run prevention and command.

Teams — Minnesota brings a .724 OPS, 518 runs, a .245 team average, and a pitching staff with a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. The Twins are 6-4 over their last 10 games, and their offensive edge in OPS and total runs stands out. Seattle has a .688 OPS, 440 runs, a .230 team average, and a staff ERA/WHIP of 3.74/1.19. The Mariners are 3-7 in their last 10, but their overall pitching profile remains clearly stronger than Minnesota’s. For bettors, this matchup sets Minnesota’s better production at the plate against Seattle’s superior run prevention and the more efficient starting profile.

Key facts
Bryce Miller 2.75 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 68.2 IPMinnesota offense: .724 OPS and 518 runsSeattle staff: 3.74 ERA and 1.19 WHIP
Head to head (2025–2026)
34
Seattle Mariners lead series
7 meetings total
2025-06-26
Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
110
MIN
2025-06-25
Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
02
MIN
2025-06-24
Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
65
SEA
2025-06-23
Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
112
SEA
2025-06-01
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
12
SEA
Team picture · 2026
64
WLWWWLWWLL
37
LLWLWLLLLW
MIN
SEA
Team AVG
0.245
0.230
Team OPS
0.724
0.688
Home runs
127
129
Runs scored
518
440
Team ERA
4.62
3.74
HR allowed
129
112

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