INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL Central / AL West

Minnesota Twins 5, Seattle Mariners 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

10:10 PM ET · T-Mobile ParkGame-day snapshot Jul 31, 11:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score50
Minnesota Twins
77–85 · 3rd AL Central · T-Score 50
5
5–3
FINAL
Seattle Mariners
76–86 · 3rd AL West · T-Score 45
3
T-Score45
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMarinersMiller leads Matthews in P-Score (53 vs 49), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handTwinsMinnesota has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupTwinsMinnesota's official lineup includes 4 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formTwinsMinnesota has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Starting pitchers

MIN
Zebby Matthews RHP
Zebby Matthews
Minnesota Twins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.21
157th
WHIP
1.32
96th
K/9
6.99
119th
BB/9
2.84
68th
P-Score49i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.78
192nd
OPS/R
–
IP
76.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.94
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
SEA
Bryce Miller RHP
Bryce Miller
Seattle Mariners
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.75
114th
WHIP
0.92
55th
K/9
9.31
68th
BB/9
1.44
87th
P-Score53i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.44
180th
OPS/R
–
IP
68.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.40
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
How the starters differ
·Miller allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.92 WHIP compared with 1.32.
·Miller strikes out 2.3 more batters per nine innings.
·Miller enters with a 2.75 ERA compared with Matthews's 5.21.
·Matthews has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 20%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Matthews arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam36%95.2
Slider23%87.3
Changeup13%86.8
Cutter12%90.9
Curveball11%79.9
Sinker5%95.2
Miller arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam39%96.0
Splitter24%84.6
Slider11%87.3
Sinker8%95.2
Sweeper7%83.7
Cutter6%91.2
Knuckle Curve4%83.0

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Twins vs RHP (Bryce Miller)
8th
in MLB
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Mariners vs RHP (Zebby Matthews)
21st
in MLB
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Minnesota TwinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Bryce Miller
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Miller (BvP)
1Trevor LarnachLLF62.78813.819No MLB historyNo history
2Ryan JeffersRC73.81414.820No MLB historyNo history
3Kody ClemensL2B70.75827.789No MLB historyNo history
4Josh BellSDH66.73821.741No MLB historyNo history
5Royce LewisR1B55.66715.638No MLB historyNo history
6Alan RodenLRF—.7681.670No MLB historyNo history
7Brooks LeeS3B58.72824.800No MLB historyNo history
8Luke KeaschallR2B57.78110.800No MLB historyNo history
9Tristan GrayLSS27.5914.597No MLB historyNo history
1Trevor Larnach LF · L.269 / .788 · 13 HRvs hand .819 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score2Ryan Jeffers C · R.256 / .814 · 14 HRvs hand .820 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score3Kody Clemens 2B · L.239 / .758 · 27 HRvs hand .789 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score4Josh Bell DH · S.255 / .738 · 21 HRvs hand .741 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score5Royce Lewis 1B · R.227 / .667 · 15 HRvs hand .638 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score6Alan Roden RF · L.291 / .768 · 1 HRvs hand .670 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Brooks Lee 3B · S.253 / .728 · 24 HRvs hand .800 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score8Luke Keaschall 2B · R.282 / .781 · 10 HRvs hand .800 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score9Tristan Gray SS · L.225 / .591 · 4 HRvs hand .597 · No MLB history · No history27H-Score
Seattle MarinersOfficial lineupvs RHP Zebby Matthews
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Matthews (BvP)
1Cole YoungL2B55.69317.744No MLB historyNo history
2Randy ArozarenaRLF75.86526.827No MLB historyNo history
3Dominic CanzoneLDH78.82023.808No MLB historyNo history
4Julio RodríguezRCF61.70822.723No MLB historyNo history
5Josh NaylorL1B50.66710.660No MLB historyNo history
6Cal RaleighSC59.66423.680No MLB historyNo history
7Weston WilsonR3B29.5894.670No MLB historyNo history
8Colt EmersonLSS24.5818.571No MLB historyNo history
9Victor RoblesRRF29.6230.593No MLB historyNo history
1Cole Young 2B · L.246 / .693 · 17 HRvs hand .744 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score2Randy Arozarena LF · R.281 / .865 · 26 HRvs hand .827 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score3Dominic Canzone DH · L.264 / .820 · 23 HRvs hand .808 · No MLB history · No history78H-Score4Julio Rodríguez CF · R.247 / .708 · 22 HRvs hand .723 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score5Josh Naylor 1B · L.261 / .667 · 10 HRvs hand .660 · No MLB history · No history50H-Score6Cal Raleigh C · S.182 / .664 · 23 HRvs hand .680 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score7Weston Wilson 3B · R.201 / .589 · 4 HRvs hand .670 · No MLB history · No history29H-Score8Colt Emerson SS · L.190 / .581 · 8 HRvs hand .571 · No MLB history · No history24H-Score9Victor Robles RF · R.256 / .623 · 0 HRvs hand .593 · No MLB history · No history29H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMINMIN·SEASEA
AVG.245 13th.233 29th
OPS.720 12th.693 27th
Home runs187 12th182 17th
Runs739 10th664 28th
OBP.317 14th.314 21st
SLG.403 10th.379 28th
PitchingMINMIN·SEASEA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.56vs4.20
MINSEA
WHIP1.36vs1.27
MINSEA
K/98.7vs8.8
MINSEA
HR Allowed186vs194
MINSEA
BullpenMINMIN·SEASEA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.18vs3.80
no league rank
Saves45vs35
MINSEA
ResultsMINMIN·SEASEA
+31816th
Run differential
+22327th
77–85 Record76–86
6–4 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Minnesota Twins (6–4)
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
Seattle Mariners (3–7)
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—4
7 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Twins?+
Zebby Matthews (5.21 ERA, 4–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mariners?+
Bryce Miller (2.75 ERA, 4–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
10:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park.
Where is the game being played?+
T-Mobile Park, home of the Seattle Mariners.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Twins and Mariners performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Mariners 4–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Zebby Matthews is at 49; Bryce Miller is at 53. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.