INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / AL East

Cincinnati Reds 5, Toronto Blue Jays 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

3:07 PM ET · Rogers CentreGame-day snapshot Sep 28, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score19
Cincinnati Reds
75–87 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 19
5
5–1
FINAL · 9 innings
Toronto Blue Jays
79–83 · 5th AL East · T-Score 36
1
T-Score36
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Rhett LowderCIN
StarterWin
6.0302279
Trey YesavageTOR
StarterLoss
2.0211330
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CINCincinnati Reds012020000560
TORToronto Blue Jays000000100152
Top hitters
JJ Bleday1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 BB
Héctor Rodríguez2-for-4 · 2 RBI
Eugenio Suárez1-for-4 · 1 RBI
Andrés Giménez1-for-3 · 1 RBI
Brett Bateman2-for-3 · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherJaysYesavage leads Lowder in P-Score (52 vs 36), WHIP and K/9.
LineupRedsCincinnati's official lineup includes 3 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenJaysToronto owns a 3.29 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Cincinnati's 4.47.
Recent formRedsCincinnati has been the better recent team, at 4–6 over the last 10.
PowerRedsCincinnati has 212 home runs this season, 62 more than Toronto.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CIN
Rhett Lowder RHP
Rhett Lowder
Cincinnati Reds
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
6.01
199th
WHIP
1.55
200th
K/9
7.14
171st
BB/9
3.82
160th
P-Score36i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.27
117th
OPS/R
–
IP
127.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
6.41
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
TOR
Trey Yesavage RHP
Trey Yesavage
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.67
71st
WHIP
1.13
48th
K/9
8.84
73rd
BB/9
4.33
198th
P-Score52i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.03
95th
OPS/R
–
IP
95.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.57
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Yesavage allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.13 WHIP compared with 1.55.
·Yesavage enters with a 3.67 ERA compared with Lowder's 6.01.
·Yesavage strikes out 1.7 more batters per nine innings.
·Yesavage has produced a quality start in 67% of outings versus 0%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Yesavage arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%94.3
Splitter29%82.9
Slider24%87.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Reds vs RHP (Trey Yesavage)
27th
in MLB
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Jays vs RHP (Rhett Lowder)
25th
in MLB
0.705OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 26, 12:10 PM ET
CINCIN
.731
+23 ptsOPS edge
TORTOR
.708

Slight edge: CIN

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Cincinnati RedsOfficial lineupvs RHP Trey Yesavage
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Yesavage (BvP)
1Carlos JorgeLCF—.6061.630No MLB historyNo history
2Elly De La CruzSSS81.88030.834No MLB historyNo history
3Sal StewartR1B72.78732.782No MLB historyNo history
4Eugenio SuárezRDH60.74026.748No MLB historyNo history
5JJ BledayLLF64.74024.779No MLB historyNo history
6Tyler StephensonRC64.72715.748No MLB historyNo history
7Héctor RodríguezLRF36.6806.782No MLB historyNo history
8Juan BritoS2B39.6833.538No MLB historyNo history
9Matt McLainR2B46.60815.552No MLB historyNo history
1Carlos Jorge CF · L.217 / .606 · 1 HRvs hand .630 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Elly De La Cruz SS · S.283 / .880 · 30 HRvs hand .834 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score3Sal Stewart 1B · R.263 / .787 · 32 HRvs hand .782 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score4Eugenio Suárez DH · R.212 / .740 · 26 HRvs hand .748 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score5JJ Bleday LF · L.217 / .740 · 24 HRvs hand .779 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score6Tyler Stephenson C · R.241 / .727 · 15 HRvs hand .748 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score7Héctor Rodríguez RF · L.229 / .680 · 6 HRvs hand .782 · No MLB history · No history36H-Score8Juan Brito 2B · S.245 / .683 · 3 HRvs hand .538 · No MLB history · No history39H-Score9Matt McLain 2B · R.185 / .608 · 15 HRvs hand .552 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score
Toronto Blue JaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Rhett Lowder
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Lowder (BvP)
1Brett BatemanLCF48.8262.900No MLB historyNo history
2Nathan LukesLRF44.71410.744No MLB historyNo history
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.R1B56.6889.650No MLB historyNo history
4Alejandro KirkRC57.76610.755No MLB historyNo history
5Kazuma OkamotoR3B66.76233.728No MLB historyNo history
6Sean KeysLDH—.5702.577No MLB historyNo history
7Josh SmithL2B34.6116.6140-for-2Very small sample
8Andrés GiménezLSS37.6509.660No MLB historyNo history
9Ernie ClementR2B38.6499.660No MLB historyNo history
1Brett Bateman CF · L.329 / .826 · 2 HRvs hand .900 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score2Nathan Lukes RF · L.277 / .714 · 10 HRvs hand .744 · No MLB history · No history44H-Score3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R.260 / .688 · 9 HRvs hand .650 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score4Alejandro Kirk C · R.278 / .766 · 10 HRvs hand .755 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score5Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R.232 / .762 · 33 HRvs hand .728 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score6Sean Keys DH · L.197 / .570 · 2 HRvs hand .577 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Josh Smith 2B · L.203 / .611 · 6 HRvs hand .614 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample34H-Score8Andrés Giménez SS · L.244 / .650 · 9 HRvs hand .660 · No MLB history · No history37H-Score9Ernie Clement 2B · R.259 / .649 · 9 HRvs hand .660 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCINCIN·TORTOR
AVG.229 30th.247 9th
OPS.699 25th.691 29th
Home runs213 4th152 30th
Runs666 27th648 30th
OBP.305 30th.310 27th
SLG.394 25th.381 26th
PitchingCINCIN·TORTOR
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.83vs3.90
CINTOR
WHIP1.44vs1.29
CINTOR
K/98.1vs8.8
CINTOR
HR Allowed214vs167
CINTOR
BullpenCINCIN·TORTOR
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.47vs3.29
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.39vs1.23
no league rank
Saves42vs52
CINTOR
ResultsCINCIN·TORTOR
+23229th
Run differential
+32722nd
75–87 Record79–83
4–6 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Cincinnati Reds (4–6)
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
Toronto Blue Jays (3–7)
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—2
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Reds?+
Rhett Lowder (6.01 ERA, 6–12) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Jays?+
Trey Yesavage (3.67 ERA, 5–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
3:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre.
Where is the game being played?+
Rogers Centre, home of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Reds and Jays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Jays 2–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Rhett Lowder is at 36; Trey Yesavage is at 52. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.