INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL West

Arizona Diamondbacks 7, San Diego Padres 10

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

8:40 PM ET · Petco ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 28, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score38
Arizona Diamondbacks
86–76 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 38
7
7–10
FINAL · 9 innings
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 39
10
T-Score39
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Taylor ClarkeAZ
Starter
0.2310025
Jose CabreraAZ
ReliefLoss
1.1551240
Walker BuehlerSD
Starter
3.2531373
Yuki MatsuiSD
ReliefWin
0.100014
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
AZArizona Diamondbacks0112000037100
SDSan Diego Padres10232200010131
Top hitters
Manny Machado2-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI
James McCann1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Xander Bogaerts1-for-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 BB
Jake Cronenworth2-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 R
Jackson Merrill2-for-4 · 1 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherDiamondbacksThe starters are close overall, but Clarke owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handPadresSan has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupPadresSan's official lineup includes 5 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formDiamondbacksArizona has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

AZ
Taylor Clarke RHP
Taylor Clarke
Arizona Diamondbacks
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.86
WHIP
0.97
K/9
5.60
BB/9
1.74
FIP
–
HR/9
0.87
OPS/R
–
IP
72.1
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
2
SD
Walker Buehler RHP
Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.56
146th
WHIP
1.34
132nd
K/9
7.68
134th
BB/9
3.36
127th
P-Score47i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.26
130th
OPS/R
–
IP
150.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.29
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Clarke allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.97 WHIP compared with 1.34.
·Clarke enters with a 2.86 ERA compared with Buehler's 4.56.
·Buehler strikes out 2.1 more batters per nine innings.
·Clarke allows the lower home-run rate: 0.87 vs 1.26 per nine.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Clarke arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Slider30%88.5
Changeup28%90.1
Sinker22%95.3
Cutter19%94.3
Four-seam1%94.6
Buehler arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter24%90.4
Four-seam20%94.0
Sinker20%94.2
Slider11%87.1
Changeup9%89.3
Knuckle Curve8%78.3
Sweeper7%82.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Diamondbacks vs RHP (Walker Buehler)
26th
in MLB
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Taylor Clarke)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 26, 5:40 PM ET
AZAZ
.748
+17 ptsOPS edge
SDSD
.731

Slight edge: AZ

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Buehler (BvP)
1Lars NootbaarLLF54.7218.8001-for-3Very small sample
2Ketel MarteS2B59.74822.6871-for-4Very small sample
3Gabriel MorenoRC75.87416.9091-for-3Very small sample
4Geraldo PerdomoSSS56.7479.7620-for-4Very small sample
5Corbin CarrollLRF70.79522.7270-for-2Very small sample
6Nolan ArenadoR3B52.80630.7751-for-1Very small sample
7Pavin SmithL1B28.5563.5741-for-15Small sample
8James McCannRC56.7667.8781-for-2Very small sample
9Tim TawaR1B51.69011.7040-for-1Very small sample
1Lars Nootbaar LF · L.239 / .721 · 8 HRvs hand .800 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample54H-Score2Ketel Marte 2B · S.249 / .748 · 22 HRvs hand .687 · 1-for-4 · Very small sample59H-Score3Gabriel Moreno C · R.311 / .874 · 16 HRvs hand .909 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample75H-Score4Geraldo Perdomo SS · S.262 / .747 · 9 HRvs hand .762 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample56H-Score5Corbin Carroll RF · L.239 / .795 · 22 HRvs hand .727 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample70H-Score6Nolan Arenado 3B · R.255 / .806 · 30 HRvs hand .775 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample52H-Score7Pavin Smith 1B · L.183 / .556 · 3 HRvs hand .574 · 1-for-15 · Small sample28H-Score8James McCann C · R.282 / .766 · 7 HRvs hand .878 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample56H-Score9Tim Tawa 1B · R.240 / .690 · 11 HRvs hand .704 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample51H-Score
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Taylor Clarke
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Clarke (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF80.82825.7822-for-8Very small sample
2Dustin HarrisLLF40.7360.757No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B58.71030.7142-for-11Small sample
4Jackson MerrillLCF58.74326.7441-for-2Very small sample
5Ty FranceR1B74.86521.8691-for-3Very small sample
6Gavin SheetsL1B56.71017.7642-for-2Very small sample
7Xander BogaertsRSS48.67613.6870-for-1Very small sample
8Jake CronenworthL2B32.6297.6302-for-10Small sample
9Ethan SalasLC—.7372.834No MLB historyNo history
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · 2-for-8 · Very small sample80H-Score2Dustin Harris LF · L.293 / .736 · 0 HRvs hand .757 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 2-for-11 · Small sample58H-Score4Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample58H-Score5Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample74H-Score6Gavin Sheets 1B · L.212 / .710 · 17 HRvs hand .764 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample56H-Score7Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .687 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample48H-Score8Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · 2-for-10 · Small sample32H-Score9Ethan Salas C · L.256 / .737 · 2 HRvs hand .834 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseAZAZ·SDSD
AVG.246 12th.244 17th
OPS.720 14th.717 18th
Home runs166 25th183 14th
Runs739 11th722 15th
OBP.318 13th.319 11th
SLG.402 15th.398 19th
PitchingAZAZ·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.18vs3.99
AZSD
WHIP1.28vs1.29
AZSD
K/97.1vs8.2
AZSD
HR Allowed186vs180
AZSD
BullpenAZAZ·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.38vs3.69
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.18vs1.25
no league rank
Saves38vs48
AZSD
ResultsAZAZ·SDSD
+38512th
Run differential
+33921st
86–76 Record91–71
7–3 Last 107–3
Last 10 games
Arizona Diamondbacks (7–3)
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
San Diego Padres (7–3)
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
5—8
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Diamondbacks?+
Taylor Clarke (2.86 ERA, 2–4) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Walker Buehler (4.56 ERA, 9–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:40 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Diamondbacks and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 8–5 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.