Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsChicago has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Boyd leads in P-Score, WHIP and FIP.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .800 OPS vs LHP, 1th in MLB; Cincinnati ranks 6th vs LHP.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 66–29 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherModerate impactA 3 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Boyd allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.24 WHIP compared with 1.49.
·Boyd owns the lower FIP, 4.41 to 5.63.
·Boyd allows the lower home-run rate: 1.18 vs 1.77 per nine.
·Boyd carries a 2.95 road ERA, compared with Lodolo's 4.50 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Boyd | Lodolo | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 98 | 119 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.41 | 5.63 | |
| WAR | 1.2 | 0.0 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Boyd arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 44% | 92.7 |
| Changeup | 27% | 78.6 |
| Slider | 15% | 83.0 |
| Curveball | 13% | 73.1 |
| Sinker | 1% | 91.8 |
Lodolo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 27% | 93.9 |
| Sinker | 26% | 93.7 |
| Curveball | 25% | 82.4 |
| Changeup | 23% | 88.1 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.800OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.742OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CHC·
CIN+3611st
Run differential
+9528th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Matthew Boyd is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Nick Lodolo is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Matthew Boyd is at 51; Nick Lodolo is at 41. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.