INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

Chicago Cubs 9, Cincinnati Reds 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:40 PM ET · Great American Ball ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 22, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score51
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 51
9
9–1
FINAL · 9 innings
Cincinnati Reds
75–87 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 19
1
T-Score19
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
David PetersonCHC
StarterWin
6.0311783
Rhett LowderCIN
StarterLoss
3.0653360
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CHCChicago Cubs1040300109131
CINCincinnati Reds000100000140
Top hitters
Pete Crow-Armstrong3-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Seiya Suzuki1-for-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Michael Conforto1-for-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
JJ Bleday1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 BB
Pedro Ramírez3-for-5 · 2 RBI · 1 R

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsChicago has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Peterson leads in P-Score, K/9 and last-5 ERA.
Offense vs handCubsChicago has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupCubsChicago's official lineup includes 3 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 51–19 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherLow impact87°F, wind 7 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CHC
David Peterson LHP
David Peterson
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.11
155th
WHIP
1.55
194th
K/9
8.13
104th
BB/9
4.06
175th
P-Score49i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.92
53rd
OPS/R
–
IP
137.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.08
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
CIN
Rhett Lowder RHP
Rhett Lowder
Cincinnati Reds
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.79
199th
WHIP
1.52
200th
K/9
7.09
171st
BB/9
3.69
160th
P-Score36i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.30
115th
OPS/R
–
IP
124.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
6.41
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Peterson owns a 8.1 K/9 compared with Lowder's 7.1.
·Peterson allows the lower home-run rate: 0.92 vs 1.30 per nine.
·Peterson enters with a 5.11 ERA compared with Lowder's 5.79.
·Peterson has produced a quality start in 50% of outings versus 25%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Peterson arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker30%92.2
Four-seam25%92.5
Slider22%86.4
Changeup13%85.7
Curveball11%80.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs RHP (Rhett Lowder)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Reds vs LHP (David Peterson)
10th
in MLB
0.717OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 20, 11:41 AM ET
CHCCHC
.774
+64 ptsOPS edge
CINCIN
.710

Clear edge: CHC

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Rhett Lowder
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Lowder (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF76.94245.9730-for-2Very small sample
2Seiya SuzukiRRF70.84126.7971-for-1Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B61.74520.7360-for-3Very small sample
4Alex BregmanR3B68.81928.7990-for-3Very small sample
5Ian HappSLF60.73824.8161-for-3Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B46.6668.6650-for-5Very small sample
7Michael ConfortoLDH64.80015.7741-for-1Very small sample
8Pedro RamírezS2B49.7236.662No MLB historyNo history
9Miguel AmayaRC46.7176.7011-for-2Very small sample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .973 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample76H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .797 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample70H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .736 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample61H-Score4Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .799 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score5Ian Happ LF · S.218 / .738 · 24 HRvs hand .816 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample60H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .665 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample46H-Score7Michael Conforto DH · L.240 / .800 · 15 HRvs hand .774 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample64H-Score8Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.261 / .723 · 6 HRvs hand .662 · No MLB history · No history49H-Score9Miguel Amaya C · R.237 / .717 · 6 HRvs hand .701 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample46H-Score
Cincinnati RedsOfficial lineupvs LHP David Peterson
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Peterson (BvP)
1Dane MyersRCF57.7218.7771-for-2Very small sample
2Elly De La CruzSSS81.88030.9902-for-6Very small sample
3Sal StewartR1B72.78732.8021-for-5Very small sample
4Tyler StephensonRC64.72715.6556-for-12Small sample
5JJ BledayLLF64.74024.6440-for-1Very small sample
6Matt McLainR2B46.60815.7772-for-5Very small sample
7Oswaldo CabreraS3B—.4900–No MLB historyNo history
8Will BanfieldRC—.3430.000No MLB historyNo history
9Ke'Bryan HayesR3B31.4195.5391-for-2Very small sample
1Dane Myers CF · R.257 / .721 · 8 HRvs hand .777 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample57H-Score2Elly De La Cruz SS · S.283 / .880 · 30 HRvs hand .990 · 2-for-6 · Very small sample81H-Score3Sal Stewart 1B · R.263 / .787 · 32 HRvs hand .802 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample72H-Score4Tyler Stephenson C · R.241 / .727 · 15 HRvs hand .655 · 6-for-12 · Small sample64H-Score5JJ Bleday LF · L.217 / .740 · 24 HRvs hand .644 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample64H-Score6Matt McLain 2B · R.185 / .608 · 15 HRvs hand .777 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample46H-Score7Oswaldo Cabrera 3B · S.182 / .490 · 0 HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Will Banfield C · R.150 / .343 · 0 HRvs hand .000 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R.141 / .419 · 5 HRvs hand .539 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample31H-Score

Team comparison

ResultsCHCCHC·CINCIN
+5081st
Run differential
+23229th
89–73 Record75–87
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs Recent form unavailable
Cincinnati Reds Recent form unavailable
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—0
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
David Peterson (5.11 ERA, 8–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Rhett Lowder (5.79 ERA, 6–11) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
David Peterson is at 49; Rhett Lowder is at 36. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.