INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL West

Miami Marlins 6, San Diego Padres 7

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

8:40 PM ET · Petco ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 21, 2:02 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score54
Miami Marlins
80–82 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 54
6
6–7
FINAL · 10 innings
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 54
7
T-Score54
FINAL · 10 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Eury PérezMIA
Starter
4.2853497
Josh EknessMIA
ReliefLoss
0.110018
Casey MizeSD
Starter
3.0555274
David MorganSD
ReliefWin
1.0001213
Scoring by inning
12345678910RHE
MIAMiami Marlins03200000106100
SDSan Diego Padres01310100017110
Top hitters
Otto Lopez1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 BB
Samad Taylor1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Griffin Conine1-for-1 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Fernando Tatis Jr.1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Ty France3-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 R

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPadresThe starters are close overall, but Mize owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenPadresSan has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formPadresSan has won 9 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
WeatherLow impact66°F, wind 1 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

MIA
Eury Pérez RHP
Eury Pérez
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.99
94th
WHIP
1.24
77th
K/9
9.67
46th
BB/9
3.99
166th
P-Score53i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.12
100th
OPS/R
–
IP
144.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.47
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
SD
Casey Mize RHP
Casey Mize
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.69
124th
WHIP
1.14
83rd
K/9
7.75
140th
BB/9
2.24
60th
P-Score47i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.01
122nd
OPS/R
–
IP
124.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.86
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Pérez owns a 9.7 K/9 compared with Mize's 7.8.
·Mize walks 1.8 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Mize owns a 3.86 ERA over his last five starts, compared with 5.47 for Pérez.
·Mize has a 0% blow-up rate compared with Pérez's 25%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Pérez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam37%98.2
Sinker18%97.7
Slider17%88.4
Sweeper13%83.5
Changeup8%90.0
Curveball6%80.7
Mize arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam35%93.3
Slider28%87.4
Splitter24%87.7
Sinker10%93.5
Slurve4%81.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Marlins vs RHP (Casey Mize)
7th
in MLB
0.743OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Eury Pérez)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 19, 6:40 PM ET
MIAMIA
.736
−7 ptsOPS edge
SDSD
.743

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Casey Mize
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Mize (BvP)
1Otto LopezRSS70.78611.7650-for-2Very small sample
2Heriberto HernándezRLF73.75525.7331-for-1Very small sample
3Kyle StowersL1B72.79021.821No MLB historyNo history
4Javier SanojaR3B63.79111.753No MLB historyNo history
5Xavier EdwardsS2B57.7316.7380-for-3Very small sample
6Jakob MarseeLCF55.70711.7210-for-3Very small sample
7Agustín RamírezRDH43.6725.6251-for-3Very small sample
8Joe MackLC55.68514.730No MLB historyNo history
9Esteury RuizRRF42.6996.650No MLB historyNo history
1Otto Lopez SS · R.305 / .786 · 11 HRvs hand .765 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample70H-Score2Heriberto Hernández LF · R.228 / .755 · 25 HRvs hand .733 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample73H-Score3Kyle Stowers 1B · L.239 / .790 · 21 HRvs hand .821 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score4Javier Sanoja 3B · R.295 / .791 · 11 HRvs hand .753 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score5Xavier Edwards 2B · S.280 / .731 · 6 HRvs hand .738 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample57H-Score6Jakob Marsee CF · L.231 / .707 · 11 HRvs hand .721 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample55H-Score7Agustín Ramírez DH · R.235 / .672 · 5 HRvs hand .625 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample43H-Score8Joe Mack C · L.234 / .685 · 14 HRvs hand .730 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score9Esteury Ruiz RF · R.216 / .699 · 6 HRvs hand .650 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Eury Pérez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Pérez (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF87.82825.7821-for-2Very small sample
2Dustin HarrisLLF44.7360.803No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B71.71030.7140-for-3Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B80.86521.8690-for-3Very small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF71.74326.7441-for-2Very small sample
6Luis CampusanoRC63.7968.791No MLB historyNo history
7Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.6300-for-2Very small sample
8Samad TaylorRLF50.7982.812No MLB historyNo history
9Freddy FerminRC33.5894.6051-for-2Very small sample
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample87H-Score2Dustin Harris LF · L.293 / .736 · 0 HRvs hand .803 · No MLB history · No history44H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample71H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample80H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample71H-Score6Luis Campusano C · R.265 / .796 · 8 HRvs hand .791 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score7Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample38H-Score8Samad Taylor LF · R.316 / .798 · 2 HRvs hand .812 · No MLB history · No history50H-Score9Freddy Fermin C · R.203 / .589 · 4 HRvs hand .605 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample33H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMIAMIA·SDSD
AVG.249 7th.244 17th
OPS.726 9th.717 19th
Home runs168 23rd183 15th
Runs715 18th722 15th
OBP.326 5th.319 12th
SLG.400 16th.398 20th
PitchingMIAMIA·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.09vs3.99
MIASD
WHIP1.28vs1.29
MIASD
K/98.3vs8.2
MIASD
HR Allowed171vs180
MIASD
BullpenMIAMIA·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.28vs3.59
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.32vs1.24
no league rank
Saves35vs48
MIASD
ResultsMIAMIA·SDSD
+30515th
Run differential
+29716th
80–82 Record91–71
4–6 Last 109–1
Last 10 games
Miami Marlins (4–6)
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
San Diego Padres (9–1)
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Eury Pérez (3.99 ERA, 7–11) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Casey Mize (3.69 ERA, 6–9) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:40 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Marlins and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Eury Pérez is at 53; Casey Mize is at 47. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.