Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherNationalsThe starters are close overall, but Alvarez owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .026 difference in OPS.
WeatherLow impact82°F, wind 2 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Alvarez strikes out 2.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Alvarez allows the lower home-run rate: 0.44 vs 1.13 per nine.
·McGreevy walks 1.6 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Alvarez owns the lower FIP, 3.32 to 4.25.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Alvarez | McGreevy | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 84 | 95 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.32 | 4.25 | |
| WAR | 2.1 | 1.7 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Alvarez arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Curveball | 31% | 82.9 |
| Four-seam | 28% | 92.3 |
| Slider | 21% | 84.2 |
| Sinker | 14% | 91.8 |
| Changeup | 5% | 86.3 |
McGreevy arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 24% | 91.9 |
| Changeup | 20% | 86.9 |
| Sinker | 17% | 90.8 |
| Curveball | 12% | 78.5 |
| Cutter | 11% | 87.6 |
| Sweeper | 11% | 81.8 |
| Slider | 4% | 83.5 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.737OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
WSH·
STL+2975th
Run differential
+20418th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Andrew Alvarez is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Michael McGreevy is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:15 PM ET at Busch Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Busch Stadium, home of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Andrew Alvarez is at 59; Michael McGreevy is at 53. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.