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Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros

Tuesday, Aug 4, 2026Daikin Park8:10 PM ETPreview
TOR · Away · 53-60

Toronto Blue Jays

AL East · 3rd · 13.5 GB
:
8:10 PM ET
H2H 24
HOU · Home · 58-56

Houston Astros

Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season3.73
Last 55.00
1.27 ERA worse in last 5
6 days restQS 60%Blow-up 0/5
207/05
407/11
307/19
307/24
107/29

↓ ERA trending down lately

Season4.76
Last 55.19
0.43 ERA worse in last 5
6 days restQS 0%Blow-up 0/1
307/29
Matchup edge
Trey Yesavage pitching edge·Astros 82 L10
PitchingToronto
Toronto52Astros23
HittingAstros
Toronto29Astros55
BullpenEven
Toronto51Astros51
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / RHP
Toronto vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.8831 hot hitterTop: Urías 1.323 · Sánchez 0.808 · Okamoto 0.767

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Astros vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.8441 hot hitterTop: Alvarez 1.125 · Walker 0.781 · Peña 0.779

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Toronto Blue Jays hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.000
0.000
2
0.444
1.323
3
0.234
0.767
24
0.293
0.808
7
0.212
0.634
12
Houston Astros hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.335
1.125
35
0.286
0.779
13
0.246
0.781
22
0.245
0.768
15
0.272
0.767
5
◆ Matchup preview

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros (2026-08-04). Trey Yesavage vs Hayden Wesneski at Daikin Park.

Starters — Yesavage has a 3.73 ERA and 1.16 WHIP across 91.2 innings, with 8.93 K/9, 4.42 BB/9, and 0.98 HR/9. His last three starts were 6.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 3 BB; 4.0 IP, 3 ER, 9 K, 1 BB; and 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 9 K, 2 BB. The strikeout ability is clear, but the walk rate remains the main volatility point, and the listed trend is down. Wesneski has a 4.76 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 5.2 innings, with 6.35 K/9, 3.18 BB/9, and 0.00 HR/9. His only recent outing was 5.2 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, 2 BB on July 29. The sample is very small, so projection leans more on current form than established season volume.

Teams — Toronto owns a .682 OPS and 442 runs scored, with a team 4.04 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The Blue Jays are 6-4 over their last 10, and their profile looks more pitching-driven than offense-driven given the modest OPS. Houston brings a stronger offensive baseline with a .737 OPS and 529 runs, plus a .246 team average. The Astros are also 8-2 in their last 10, although their staff has been less efficient overall with a 4.63 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. From a betting angle, Toronto shows the steadier starting-pitching foundation, while Houston carries the more productive lineup and better recent team momentum.

Key facts
Yesavage: 3.73 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 8.93 K/9 in 91.2 IPAstros offense: .737 OPS and 529 runsBlue Jays staff: 4.04 team ERA and 1.31 WHIP
Head to head (2025–2026)
24
Houston Astros lead series
6 meetings total
2025-09-11
Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays
06
TOR
2025-09-10
Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays
32
HOU
2025-09-09
Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays
34
TOR
2025-04-23
Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros
13
HOU
2025-04-22
Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros
15
HOU
Team picture · 2026
64
WLWWWLWLWL
82
LWWWWWWLWW
TOR
HOU
Team AVG
0.243
0.246
Team OPS
0.682
0.737
Home runs
108
155
Runs scored
442
529
Team ERA
4.04
4.63
HR allowed
118
153

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